New preamble:

Palestinian resistance groups have launched an operation in and around Gaza to fight the genocidal settler state oppressing them. Thousands of rockets have been launched towards the so-called state of Israel, overwhelming the Iron Dome. Settlers and the troops protecting them are being killed in the settlements surrounding Gaza, with many caught by surprise in the first few hours of the operation.

Palestinians are taking many Israeli settlers and soldiers hostage and bringing them back to Gaza. An Israeli general, Nimrod Aloni, has been confirmed captured. Palestinians are also taking military and civilian equipment back. Drones and MANPADS appear to be in use, and a number of Merkava tanks have been destroyed/disabled and their occupants removed and taken hostage. Palestinian forces appear to be heading in two main directions so far: southeast in the direction of Be'er Sheva, and along the coast in the direction of Ashkelon, but settlements all around Gaza have been assaulted and taken. It is obviously unknown how far they intend to go, or what their intermediate goals are.

Israel is bombing the Gaza Strip with aircraft, destroying buildings. It appears that their intelligence on the location of Palestinian forces outside of Gaza is very poor, and haven't been able to meaningfully strike them. Netanyahu has given a statement declaring that Israel is in a state of war. Iran has issued statements in support of the uprising, and Israel has responded with hostility to those comments. In all, the IDF appears to still be in a shockingly bad state hours after the assault began.


Old preamble on Antarctica:

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Much of the information for this news post, including both the images in the preamble, came from this article at the National Snow and Ice Data Center, which has been circulating in the media lately.

Image has been taken from this article.


Antarctica has had a uniquely bad year.

While the sea ice extent in the last 50 years or so has been very gradually declining, it has done so very slowly on average - by 0.1% per decade. This began to change in 2016:

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Even so, this year is different, showing a remarkable decrease in the maximum sea ice extent. It is unconfirmed (I think) but this year may be the first in which the maximum extent fails to reach 17 million square kilometers - and is more than one million square kilometers lower than the previous record low maximum in 1986.

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The fall in sea ice has been linked by some researchers to warming in the uppermost ocean layer caused by lateral and upward mixing of warmer water. The ocean is a gigantic heat sink, and has been absorbing much of the excess heat that humanity has generated via the greenhouse effect. But put enough heat into a heat sink and it will eventually fill up.

These changes in sea ice extent is no mere abstract climate worry or scientific curiosity. It is having a direct, catastrophic impact on the Antarctic's ecosystem. Emperor penguin colonies have had trouble breeding, so much so that:

...there is high probability that no chicks had survived last year in four of the five known emperor penguin colonies in the central and eastern Bellingshausen Sea. This was because the sea ice had melted well before chicks would have developed waterproof feathers. ... Today's report says about one-third of the 62 known emperor penguin colonies in Antarctica were affected by partial or total sea ice loss between 2018 and 2022.

And, last year, scientists conducted a study on the two plants that are able to grow near Antarctica, looking at a single Antarctic island for simplicity, and found that the populations of these plants had exploded in the last decade - growing as much in the last decade as they had in the last 50 years - due to rising air temperatures. It was warm enough for the scientists to wear shorts and remove their shirts.


The Country of the Week is Syria! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.


Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

The weekly update is here!

Links and Stuff

The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


  • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
    hexagon
    ·
    1 year ago

    The Cradle:

    Footage of Palestinian fighters using paramotors. CW: gunfire, loud sounds.

    Scenes of the seizure of "Kerem Shalom" site east of Rafah by the Palestinian resistance. CW: EXTREMELY graphic images of dead Israeli soldiers.

    Footage of rockets in the sky over Israeli, already posted in the megathread. CW: loud sounds, explosions.

    Footage of Israeli settlers fleeing southern Israel, by car and on foot, literally running away in panic.

    In the early hours of 7 October, Palestinian resistance faction Hamas launched the biggest offensive against Israel in decades as part of Operation Al-Aqsa Flood, firing thousands of rockets into central and southern Israel while resistance fighters infiltrated the occupied territories from land, sea, and air.

    According to Israeli media, at least six settlers have been killed and close to 200 injured, while over 30 Israeli soldiers have been taken hostage. Footage on social media shows scores of settlers fleeing southern Israel as the operation got underway.

    Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh described the ongoing battle as one of “honor, resistance, and dignity to defend Al-Aqsa [Mosque].”

    “The enemy besieging Gaza has planned to surprise it and escalate the aggression against our people in the Gaza Strip, in addition to the settlement and aggression that continues every moment in the West Bank, which seeks to uproot our people and expel them from their land, and the crimes of the occupation against our people in the 1948s, as it stands behind all the killing and assassination operations there, and the occupation’s continuation of detaining our prisoners for decades, and reneging on agreements when he re-arrested those liberated from the swap deal," Haniyeh said.

    “This flood began in Gaza and will extend to the West Bank and abroad, and every place where our people and nation are present,” he stressed, adding,” Today, the wrath of our nation and righteous fighters is boiling over. This is your day to make the enemy understand that its time has come to an end."

    The Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) says its fighters joined the operation as Hamas urged other resistance factions, including Hezbollah, to join the fight. "We are part of this battle; our fighters are side-by-side with their brothers in the Al-Qassam Brigades until victory is achieved," PIJ spokesman Abu Hamza said in a post on Telegram.

    For its part, Hezbollah issued a statement congratulating the Gaza resistance for the “heroic operation,” calling it “a decisive response to the continuing crimes of the occupation … and a [clear reminder] that the will of the Palestinian people and the rifle of resistance are the only options in the face of aggression and occupation and a message to the Arab and Islamic world and the entire international community, especially those seeking normalization."

    In retaliation for the surprise attack, the Israeli air force has begun raids on “Hamas targets” in the besieged Gaza Strip, with residents saying they “do not know what to expect.” “We don’t have bomb shelters to go to. In previous attacks, people would just run out of their homes to other relatives' homes, thinking it would be safe. Every place is liable to an attack,” Gaza resident Rana Shubair told Al Jazeera.

    Meanwhile, in the Israeli settlements near Gaza, settlers have communicated with media outlets saying many have barricaded themselves inside their homes and are begging Tel Aviv to “send troops.” “There are wounded here … There are burning houses,” a resident of the illegal Kibbutz Beeri settlement told Israel Channel 12 news, adding that the feeling among settlers is that the have been “abandoned.”

    “Hamas made a grave mistake this morning and started a war against the State of Israel. [Army] soldiers are fighting the enemy at all the infiltration sites,” Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said earlier on Saturday in remarks provided by his office. “The State of Israel will win this war,” he added. The US embassy in Israel says it is “closely monitoring” the security situation.

    • Awoo [she/her]
      ·
      1 year ago

      Footage of Palestinian fighters using paramotors. CW: gunfire, loud sounds.

      This is cool as fuck. Also extremely practical for rapid surprise attacks.

    • Awoo [she/her]
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      Footage of Israeli settlers fleeing southern Israel, by car and on foot, literally running away in panic.

      This one is being reported on telegram as settlers fleeing as a result of a breakout at the largest open air prison. Can't really verify.

    • Gosplan14_the_Third [none/use name]
      ·
      1 year ago

      Footage of Israeli settlers fleeing southern Israel, by car and on foot, literally running away in panic.

      There's an irony to it considering Israel's sales of weapons to Azerbaijan and the events of last week.