Image is of General Abdourahamane Tiani, leader of Niger (left) and Ibrahim Traoré, leader of Burkina Faso (right).


The Alliance of Sahel States (ASS) formed on September 16th in the wake of the coup in Niger in late July, in which Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso created a military and increasingly economic alliance in which attacking one would result in the other two joining. This was initially most relevant militarily, as ECOWAS was threatening an invasion of Niger if they did not restore civilian rule. Nonetheless, due to a mixture of a lack of real strength in ECOWAS due to Nigeria's internal problems, and the influence of Algeria, a very strong regional military power who negotiated against a war which could further destabilise an already destabilised region, and the vague promises of future civilian rule, the external military threat seems to have mostly dissipated.

However, internal threats remain. Burkina Faso is fighting against ISIS and al-Qaeda, which commit regular massacres of civilians; the government controls only 60% of the country. In Mali, the government is fighting against similar groups as well as the Tuareg, which inhabit the more sparsely populated north of the country - the government is in the process of kicking out the UN mission to Mali, and in the process retaking rebel stronghold cities like Kidal, which is raising some eyebrows as to what exactly the UN was doing all this time; and Niger is fighting against similar Islamic groups too, and is kicking out the French for being exploitative motherfuckers. Combine this with the sanctions against Niger which are crippling the country, disease outbreaks in Burkina Faso, and just the general shitty state of the world economy, and the situation is not looking very good currently.

That all being said, economy and trade ministers from all three countries have met this past weekend in Bamako, the capital of Mali. There, they recommended that the countries: improve the free movement of people inside the ASS (don't laugh!); construct and strengthen infrastructure like dams and roads; construct a food safety system; establish a stabilization fund and investment bank; and even create a common airline. This is all attracting foreign attention too - Russia has signed a deal to build Africa's largest gold refinery in Mali, and China is the second largest investor into Niger after France, ploughing money into the gold and uranium industries there. And, of course, the Wagner group is in the region - though I'm unsure if they're having a major or minor impact on events there.


The weekly update is here on the website.

Your Monday Briefing is here in the comments and here on the website.
Your Tuesday Briefing is here in the comments and here on the website.
Your Wednesday Briefing is here in the comments and here on the website.
Your Thursday Briefing is here in the comments and here on the website.


The Country of the Week is Burkina Faso! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is... up!

RSS feed here.

Last week's thread is here.


Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches. Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
    hexagon
    M
    ·
    edit-2
    9 months ago

    Financial Times: US aims to halve Russia’s energy revenues by 2030, says official

    Washington is aiming to halve Russia’s oil and gas revenues by the end of this decade, a senior US diplomat has said, arguing western sanctions on Moscow will need to be maintained “for years to come”.

    Geoffrey Pyatt, US assistant secretary of state for energy resources, told the Financial Times that the curbs on Vladimir Putin’s ability to fund the Ukraine invasion must ensure Russia can never again mount an attack on its neighbours. “This is something that we’re going to have to stick to for years to come, as long as Putin persists in this war,” said Pyatt, who has previously served as the US ambassador to Ukraine and to Greece.

    Russia has continued to export large volumes of oil since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. However, the International Energy Agency has forecast that its oil and gas exports could fall by at least 40-50 per cent by 2030 if western sanctions on Russia’s energy industry are maintained. “We’re going to do everything we can to help make that true,” Pyatt said.

    “The goal of these sanctions is to change Russia’s behaviour and to ensure that Putin is not in a position, whenever some kind of peace is achieved . . . to use three or four years to rearm and prepare himself and prepare his military for stage three of the Ukraine invasion,” he added.

    This is just kinda sad at this point, honestly. As I am an unfortunate resident of TERF Island, I experience on a regular basis the continued mass delusions of people who still think that the UK is an empire, a world power, a major force on the world stage. Who insist - nay, demand - that we assert ourselves as is befitting such a formidable country. But this doesn't reveal any kind of tenacity on our part - only an inability to face what is self-evident. We were defeated long ago, and our institutions have been hollow for decades.

    I feel like the story of the United States over the coming decades will be similar to us, as politicians and the general public refuse to consider the possibility that their power is now illusory; a fantasy woven by the media in front of their eyes. The frenetic daydreams of a man dying of blood loss on the sidewalk.

    • SoyViking [he/him]
      ·
      9 months ago

      to ensure that Putin is not in a position, whenever some kind of peace is achieved . . . to use three or four years to rearm and prepare himself and prepare his military for stage three of the Ukraine invasion,

      So they think that Russia will... do what Ukraine used the Minsk agreements to do?

      Why would Russia even do that? Why stop when they're winning? They don't need a break to rearm. It's Ukraine and the west who are likely to use a ceasefire to do that.

    • star_wraith [he/him]
      ·
      9 months ago

      Just imagine if a country like came out and explicitly said “we plan on destroying the US (or UK) economy by 2030”. Politicians would be demanding nuclear war in response.

      I knew it would never happen, but I kinda wanted to see Russia arm Hamas and use the exact same rhetoric the west uses when talking about arming Ukraine.

    • carpoftruth [any, any]M
      ·
      9 months ago

      Frankly I want everyone's oil and gas revenues to be halved by 2030. I'd love for those that come after to have a habitable planet.

      • Kaplya
        ·
        9 months ago

        This was what the US did by orchestrating the 2014 oil crash (Multipolarista video about this: Oil as a geopolitical weapon). Russia, Iran and Venezuela went into recession and Latin America were hit especially hard.

      • ziggurter [he/him, comrade/them]
        ·
        9 months ago

        Of course. But that's not the plan. The plan is to halve Russia's, while doubling, tripling, or whatever the collective oil and gas revenues of the U.S. and its puppets allies, and not caring about the "collateral damage" caused along the way (whether people are dying from its literal wars or from the failure to replace the generation of basic necessities currently generated using fossil fuels or both).

    • ziggurter [he/him, comrade/them]
      ·
      edit-2
      9 months ago

      Also, imagine the absolute fucking nuclear (literally) tantrum that would ensue if any entity in the world said, "The U.S. acted as a horrendous criminal by invading Iraq, so we're going to ensure it doesn't have the military capability to ever invade a country halfway around the world again (never mind going even further and saying 'its neighbors')." The U.S. would consider the removal of such offensive military capabilities as the largest existential threat imaginable and would do everything it could to split the Earth's crust wide open and make the planet completely inhabitable to humanity to keep that from happening.

      (It would, of course, be absolutely awesome if the U.S. lost all military capabilities. I'm just talking about how a nation-state responds to such potential loss of power and credible threats of making it happen, and how nobody would bat an eyelash if the U.S. responded that way, but the West completely expects Russia to lay down and take it without a fuss.)