I think there's a lot of reflexive red/blue thinking involved. If your state's red, your state laws are written by team red, but the national laws by red and blue, going back and forth every few years. Wouldn't you want all red laws? If it's just your state, that's what you get, so you win! Blue followed the same thought process, of course. Swing states have relatively low numbers because they'd just trade purple for purple. The numbers not taking a huge dip in the states that would be enclaves if they went through with this indicates that team Yes didn't think through the decision.