NATO’s goals can seem abstract when the sympathy and anguish of the world’s people are focused on the systematic destruction in Gaza. It is the most unequal struggle imaginable. Yet the Palestinian resistance is so powerful that Zionist planners and generals admit that they have failed to break this indomitable liberation struggle, even after nine months. Palestine solidarity is a global phenomenon.
With [Zionism’s] foreign minister an invited attendee at the NATO Summit, while publicly carrying out these repeated and utterly criminal attacks on defenseless civilians, the people of the world can only assume one thing: The intended NATO message is that war without limit is the new norm.
NATO seeks to normalize relentless war on civilian populations. It is a desperate effort to maintain its deteriorating world position through sheer terror. Such acts will fuel far greater resistance in West Asia and worldwide.
The US would indeed just invent Israel - by strongarming multiple states in the region, leveraging bases like those in Jordan, and maintaining several carriee groups. Israel's primary contribution is intel and bombings and the US would just manufacture consent for the necessity of invading Syria, Lebanon, Iran, etc.
It would be expensive and require a complacent world order just like the loss of any substantial US interest.
Re: oil so long as trade routes are controllable and the US has power over the Saudis, they would be fine. We can see both pieces of leverage struggling at the moment even with a more rabid Israel. The former is weaker now as evidenced by Yemen, arguably a result of the US' policy that uses Israel in exactly the way we've described, it's blowback and the development of anti-imperialist forces in the region that correctly identify the US and Israel as the primary enemy. The latter is mostly due to an ascendant China and the US undermining itself repeatedly, mostly wrt Russia but that has had huge knock-on effects.
The US can strong-arm multiple states in the region because Israel is its unsinkable aircraft carrier. Without Israel, other states become unruly.
Also, as you say, it would require a complacent world order - one which does not exist because China is ascendant. If Israel were gone, China could suddenly leverage the Belt and Road to become the dominant player in both West Asia and North Africa. That makes Israel so utterly critical as to be irreplaceable.
I still maintain they're partners, rather than a superior-subordinate arrangement.
I think we are basically 99% in agreement aside from this one conclusion lol. I agree with all of the specifics you've just mentioned, for example, I just think there is a level of depravity thatand control the US may still be able to pull off. I think China is similarly wary, not that this makes my conclusion correct.
I hope your analysis is the correct one, as the current trajectory is of both the US and Israel being paper tigers.
The one wildcard I am uncertain about are the nukes, both Israel's nukes and the US's
If the US really believed Israel was in serious danger I don't know how it would respond. As it is, I think we might see troop deployment if Israel comes under serious threat from its neighbors. That would totally upend everything and make all my predictions worthless lol
Yeah anything there is really hard for me to predict, for sure.