- cross-posted to:
- europe
https://corrieredibologna.corriere.it/notizie/cultura-e-tempo-libero/24_ottobre_07/l-antropologo-emmanuel-todd-se-l-ucraina-perde-la-guerra-a-vincere-e-l-europa-ba506b61-22dc-4fb2-b9c5-9445461e7xlk.shtml
https://corrieredibologna.corriere.it/notizie/cultura-e-tempo-libero/24_ottobre_07/l-antropologo-emmanuel-todd-se-l-ucraina-perde-la-guerra-a-vincere-e-l-europa-ba506b61-22dc-4fb2-b9c5-9445461e7xlk.shtml
NATO will keep existing precisely because US needs to force Europe to contribute more for maintenance of Western hegemony.
That only works as long as the Europeans think they're better off being vassals of the US rather than make peace with Russia. At the end of the day people care about their material conditions first and foremost. As the standard of living in Europe continues to collapse, the opinion is starting to shift against the US.
European prosperity is reliant on exploitation of other countries, and this exploitation can only be maintained in collaboration with USA. For all the idiocy and pro-Western bootlicking of Russian ruling class, they wouldn't allow Europeans to exploit their country enough for Europe to maintain its quality of life.
The USA has very little interest in European prosperity, and is currently cannibalizing European industry. The reality is that as western countries lose grip on the rest of the world, it's going to turn on one another. The US being the biggest fish in the western bloc will prey upon its vassals to bolster its own economy.
EU understands that without the US they are certain to lose their position as the neocolonial metropoly and that their only chance is hoping that they would get some scraps for being good running dogs for the US. Anti-American opposition won't be significant until after the US loses their hegemony.
Personally, I don't think EU is long for this world. We're already seeing big cracks forming, and it's only gonna get worse.
Personally, I think EU will openly become an arm of USA.
I think that's what the current political class in Europe would want, but they have an uprising on their hands. In particular, both France and Germany are turning increasingly nationalist. Without France and Germany there's no EU.
This raises another possibility: EU reforming into unironic Reich with smaller states losing what autonomy they have, becoming completely subservient to core states like France and Germany.