It seems like this is a very important conversation for Western socialists but I really don't see much discussion regarding this. What seems intuitive to me is that the answer is probably not many, but maybe that's just owe to the crumbs we have living in the imperial core.

Thoughts?

  • CptKrkIsClmbngThMntn [any]
    ·
    3 years ago

    One of my favourite bits of text:

    One of the most remarkable things about such moments is how they can seem to burst out of nowhere — and then, often, dissolve away as quickly. How is it that the same “public” that two months before say, the Paris Commune, or Spanish Civil War, had voted in a fairly moderate social democratic regime will suddenly find itself willing to risk their lives for the same ultra-radicals who received a fraction of the actual vote? Or, to return to May ‘68, how is it that the same public that seemed to support or at least feel strongly sympathetic toward the student/worker uprising could almost immediately afterwards return to the polls and elect a right-wing government? The most common historical explanations — that the revolutionaries didn’t really represent the public or its interests, but that elements of the public perhaps became caught up in some sort of irrational effervescence — seem obviously inadequate. First of all, they assume that ‘the public’ is an entity with opinions, interests, and allegiances that can be treated as relatively consistent over time. In fact what we call “the public” is created, produced, through specific institutions that allow specific forms of action — taking polls, watching television, voting, signing petitions or writing letters to elected officials or attending public hearings — and not others. These frames of action imply certain ways of talking, thinking, arguing, deliberating. The same “public” that may widely indulge in the use of recreational chemicals may also consistently vote to make such indulgences illegal; the same collection of citizens are likely to come to completely different decisions on questions affecting their communities if organized into a parliamentary system, a system of computerized plebiscites, or a nested series of public assemblies. In fact the entire anarchist project of reinventing direct democracy is premised on assuming this is the case.

    To illustrate what I mean, consider that in America, the same collection of people referred to in one context as “the public” can in another be referred to as “the workforce.” They become a “workforce”, of course, when they are engaged in different sorts of activity. The “public” does not work — at least, a sentence like “most of the American public works in the service industry” would never appear in a magazine or paper — if a journalist were to attempt to write such a sentence, their editor would certainly change it. It is especially odd since the public does apparently have to go to work: this is why, as leftist critics often complain, the media will always talk about how, say, a transport strike is likely to inconvenience the public, in their capacity of commuters, but it will never occur to them that those striking are themselves part of the public, or that whether if they succeed in raising wage levels this will be a public benefit. And certainly the “public” does not go out into the streets. Its role is as audience to public spectacles, and consumers of public services. When buying or using goods and services privately supplied, the same collection of individuals become something else (“consumers”), just as in other contexts of action they are relabeled a “nation”, “electorate”, or “population”.

    All these entities are the product of institutions and institutional practices that, in turn, define certain horizons of possibility. Hence when voting in parliamentary elections one might feel obliged to make a “realistic” choice; in an insurrectionary situation, on the other hand, suddenly anything seems possible.

    • InternetLefty [he/him]
      hexagon
      ·
      3 years ago

      Things getting worse isn't necessarily enough though. Things are already very precarious for a lot of people in the US. When would we see the tipping point, and what would we expect to do it? A consumer debt bubble forcing people out of their homes? The formation of Hoovervilles? I think the US ruling class is trying to avoid that... Maybe they won't be able to?

      It seems like something could shake loose any day now and we could see a cascading effect of economic crises... When will the shoe drop, though? That is the question.

      • SorosFootSoldier [he/him, they/them]
        ·
        3 years ago

        It seems like something could shake loose any day now and we could see a cascading effect of economic crises… When will the shoe drop, though? That is the question.

        I don't know. I wish it would though. I'm a bit more of a downer about things though and think nothing is going to happen. I hope I'm wrong.

        • InternetLefty [he/him]
          hexagon
          ·
          3 years ago

          I think something will happen. We will either see an incredible collapse, or things will be magically straightened out and then we will have a new understanding of capitalism and imperialism

      • steve5487 [none/use name]
        ·
        3 years ago

        also things have been much worse without a revolution, Britain stopped being an industrial power in part because the average British worker was too sick from malnutrition and the effects of long term extreme poverty to work as well as a contemporary American or German, children in factories were often kept in chains 24/7 and regularly worked until they actually dropped dead.

        This did not lead to a revolution in the UK, so things being bad is not the sole factor in revolutions

  • AlexandairBabeuf [they/them]
    ·
    3 years ago

    at least 6 :very-smart:

    more people than we think ITT, tbh. guerillas don't appear outta nowhere: there will be a sympathetic initially nonviolent movement with broader support beforehand

  • wmz [any]
    ·
    edit-2
    3 years ago

    workers in the imperial core are a labor aristocracy.

    that said, it doesn't mean that doing agitprop and organizing in the imperial core is useless, just that workers in the imperial core do not have that much revolutionary potential as a class right now. This could change.

  • axont [she/her, comrade/them]
    ·
    3 years ago

    What's that one quote about society being 9 meals away from collapse at any moment? I think I liked it but it also could have meant something reactionary.

    In any case, when certain moments arise I believe we all might be very surprised by who ends up on one side or another. A revolutionary socialist movement isn't born out of some kind of reasoned attitude or books certain people have read, that's part of it, but a movement like that comes when people have nothing else and need support themselves. So a better question might be "how many workers in the US would be supported by and also thus support a revolutionary socialist movement in a revolutionary moment?"

    Answer is probably a lot although with our particular brand of American brainworms I would be 100% unsurprised if our version of socialism ended up being called I don't know, patriotism or community-ism or something that completely avoids the s and c words. I'd certainly hope at some point they adopt Marxist theory or that leadership would be aware of theory, but I don't really care about what the aesthetics end up being

  • BigAssBlueBug [they/them]
    ·
    3 years ago

    American workers hate minorities more than their own shitty condition so I'm not sure how many would actually support a socialist revolution

    • InternetLefty [he/him]
      hexagon
      ·
      3 years ago

      In my experience, a lot of white Americans are really irredeemably racist. I would say this is deeply intertwined with white petit bourgeoise ideology, which is really dominant among most white Americans. Working class white Americans might be more easily swayed, especially because they are much more likely to live in the same places as black and brown people, work in the same places, etc. But the pressure of revolutionary conditions will be more acute in these areas, which will mean racist/fascist organization will be targeted towards white workers there.

      • BigAssBlueBug [they/them]
        ·
        3 years ago

        I disagree, working class whites are just as racist as petite bourgeoisie. I've met a few people who worked their ass off and supported their metalworking union and then two seconds later rant about how they want to dump all black people off a cliff.

  • Hewaoijsdb [none/use name]
    ·
    3 years ago

    My question is, how would one go about measuring that? Counting membership in revolutionary organizations / militant labor? Polling the population? Taking some action and seeing how many people support it? I'm just not sure the best way of measuring something like that

    • InternetLefty [he/him]
      hexagon
      ·
      3 years ago

      This is also a good question - working class organizations form the basis for a lot of revolutionary movements. But the people in them need to be revolutionary, too. Are the workers in the U.S. hampered in their efforts to form these organizations, moreso than perhaps the industrial proletariat of pre revolutionary Russia?

    • axont [she/her, comrade/them]
      ·
      3 years ago

      That's what, something like 400,000 people? That's before any traction or anything spicy happening? That's pretty good honestly. The Bolsheviks had less.

      • CopsDyingIsGood [he/him]
        ·
        3 years ago

        .1% of the total population is like 325k. But a huge chunk of those aren't workers because they're too young or too old. A quick Google says the working population of the US is 157 million, which brings us down to 157k, spread all over the country... which is actually still a decent number of people, now that I've typed it out. Maybe I wasn't pessimistic enough initially :data-laughing:

  • hopelesscomrade [they/them]
    ·
    3 years ago

    I support me being executed by a black clad death squad of Nazi cosplayers behind the Wendy's Parking lot.