How do you see the elections playing out.?

Yeah Melenchon is far from perfect ,tho he seems easily the most left and anti-imperialist choice and the only person in France that can mobilze crowds and the youth at any large degree. But he has climbed up to ~17% again WITHOUT vote transfers from the other lib "left" candidates who seem to actually attack him and hate him as much or even more than Macron and the far right weirdos. Of course i know how much socdems and greens can suck and back up the status quo prioritizing their anti-left ness but i could imagine exceptions where the danger is an openly fascist vs Macron run off that could actualy go either way.

On his own Melenchon is unlikely to go to the second round over LePen who polls at around 22% rn. The other left candidates aggregate around 10-12% and with pretty much no gains for months and them dropping out and backing the only left candidate with a chance of breaking the neolib-fash dichotomy and taking LePen out is the only way forward for them not to be the fascism enablers of their generation. In fact since the far right wingers seemingly wont drop out for each other and will split the vote enough for LePen to be around the low 20s its a great chance of doing so.

Is there any chance for that ? Did that also happen last elections ?

I understand as a personality Melenchon may have created enemity but this seems insignificant in front of the open opportunism and fascism enabling that is guaranteeing a preventable LePen-Macron matchup . Even for historicaly sucky green and socdem parliamentarists.