This all comes down to how house broken Democrats are, because if they're properly trained they'll vote Biden despite hating him.
Indeed, and the fear of the orange man will likely be the main driving factor for the dem base.
The main problems I see are that for Biden to win, he needs not just the core "Blue No Matter Who" vote, but a broader coalition. In 2020, that included young people, and politically unaware people who were upset about COVID. In 2024, he's doing everything possible to alienate the youth (via support for genocide, and violence against protesters), and the politically unaware people are upset about the economy. Trump isn't any more popular than he was in 2020, this is entirely an own goal on the Biden campaign's part.
Exactly, and this also undermines the whole argument that it's important to elect dems to turn things around that they used last time. Last election it was all about getting adults back in charge, and things were supposed to go back to normal. Now people see that the reality is that things are worse than ever, and Trump is more popular than ever. So, electing Biden achieved the exact opposite of what was promised.
The other thing is that I expect Biden to spend a lot of time and money campaigning in states that don't matter to him electorally, as payment to his intra-party supporters. For example, South Carolina is solidly Republican and there is zero chance of Biden winning its electoral votes, but he will spend time campaigning there purely for the prestige it gives Jim Clyburn.
dems already showed that they won't life a finger on that issue though
Piss poor polling accuracy over the last several elections has me questioning the premise of this article.
