Superforecasters’ Toolbox: Fermi-ization in Forecasting

copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to

forecasting@discuss.tchncs.de • 1 year ago

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Fermi-ization is a key technique Superforecasters use to tackle complex questions when little prior information is available

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Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Any decision we make is based on a prediction what will happen. Here we study and discuss how to do that well.

Related community: !predictions@lemmy.ca

Forecasting can be about economics, marketing, products, finance, technology, policies, demographics, energy, climate, crime, politics, or whatever.

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