I keep thinking about this every time our liberal journos try to stir shit against AMLO. Today we are enjoying another iteration of their never ending stream of open letters signed by disgraced journalists and intellectuals, the twist in this one is that they gathered 650 signatories, the claims are just hilarious saying that they are being persecuted and censored, absurd AMLO limits himself to clapbacks in his daily morning talks and this is what they are trying to equate to a vague understanding of authoritarianism its just so dumb. The cherry on top is that these pampered whores never criticized the openly documented system of media control pioneered by the president who launched our bloody war against the drug cartels.
All of this to say that I half remember that this was the same sequence played before deposing Evo, maybe a Biden admin is more open to the idea? His foreign policy is very worrisome for me.
Czechvault this is such a treat of a comment (saved), I had a nice substantial reply drafted in here but lost it stupidly and then work got in the way. I hope you get to see this and I apologize for being so late.
I think that most of our comrades in this thread, when thinking about a coup in Latin America, immediately think about Chile instead of Brazil which serves as the perfect example of a soft coup with their anticorruption campaign which turned into a vehicle to jail Lula on trumped up charges coordinated by their DA and judge Moro and supported by the US. I was thinking about what could happen in Mexico with this frame in mind, more of a legalistic battle than anything else. All in all, I now see that it is highly unlikely for either a soft coup (?) or a hard coup to be actively promoted by the US thanks to the reasons you and others have expertly laid out. And to be perfectly honest this administration is very mild making some economic elites pay their taxes is not the resurrection of a communist project so, as you say, what would be the reason? And yet there is still a dynamic that keeps bothering me, and one that I would like to bounce off with you.
In short, I'm thinking about this process as a soft coup that doesn't ultimately depose AMLO but in turn shapes the opposition into something . We see all of the tactics in that playbook being deployed right now, economic pressures (withholding private investment), relentless political attacks (from governors to feminists -which is your take on radical feminists popping out all over human rights offices?), financing of local far right groups, defamation and straight up disinformation in some media outlets (Reforma) and some social mobilization. Then we add to that the president trying to commit harakiri by removing his presidential immunity in the context of a supposed series of trials against the heads of previous administrations and I get this feeling that things could get dicey (I think that Gerts Manero doesn't have the balls or the capacity to really go after the ex presidents).
Presently all of the opposition parties continue to live in a state of crisis ridden with corruption scandals, this has lead the conservative opposition to exercise their diminished power in media as you say, the courts and propping up a comedic and anachronic far right group. So the question is, don't you think that the economic elites are going to support more aggressively the emerging far right? There was a hint in your comment that they support him now but won't in the future, isn't this the way they will likely go? We should also consider that yes AMLO has oligarchic support, not completely in the bag but the most influential appear to be quite at home with his admin, but the minigarchs are the ones rustling the leaves, I'm watching closely Claudio x and Gustavo de Hoyos.