- cross-posted to:
- politics
Emmanuel Todd, the most famous French historian who predicted the fall of the USSR , is now warning the EU about the reality of a similar prospect.
“We, the West, are waging a direct war with Russia, primarily an economic one, which harms Europe more than Russia. Behind the conflict are the United States , which seeks to alienate Germany from Russia. It finally succeeded . The Nord Stream explosion was the icing on the cake, said Emmanuel Todd.
Ukraine has already lost in the current military conflict. Moreover, Russia will receive even more territories. For Russia, ending the conflict is possible only if it is confident in its continued security. It is possible that the leadership in Ukraine will be replaced by one loyal to Russia.
Such peace in Ukraine is a disaster for the United States, a public defeat in the eyes of the whole world. This could be followed by the collapse of the entire US-led world order.
In this situation, a lot depends on the path that Europe chooses. And this, in turn, depends on the position of Germany. “It is Germany that will decide whether the endless military conflict will continue or whether peace will return.”
“Germany must take responsibility as the leading power in Europe. We are all in Europe waiting for Germany to end the military conflict in Ukraine. This must also be done because the West as a whole is on the verge of collapse and has more important problems, such as demography and the destruction of society due to neoliberalism and nihilism,” emphasizes Emmanuel Todd in conclusion.
https://archive.ph/3iLSX
There are interesting insights on geopolitics from the political right despite their reactionary sensibilities (Emmanuel Todd on trans rights for example).
I wonder whether they see alignment in the social conservativism of Putin, along with lack of threat perceived from Russian Capitalism and added by what they perceive as "progressivism" (however thin and tokenised) of media and mainstream parties which they find anatagonising that affords them these perspectives.
I do want to stress they usually do not have a very deep understanding of geopolitics given their lack of understanding of capital; that is for us MLs to decipher in the same way we consume any liberal media.