i wrote this a few years ago. how "bayesianism" is actually done.

  • bitofhope@awful.systems
    ·
    1 year ago

    Well put. When a rationalist remembers to pretend to do bayesianism, they do exactly what everyone else does but pretend as if they've figured out something unique.

    🤔 Hmm hmm I wonder what color the leaves are on the next tree. A typical frequentist simpleton might think they're green since that's the most common color of a tree leaf but as a Bayesian I have priors including the fact it's October and in autumn most leaves are yellow. Surely no normies would take external facts into account!