https://t.me/AMK_Mapping/3700

https://t.me/warmonitors/30839

Well, Israel just leveled another city block of Beirut in an apparent assassination attempt. Allegedly without warning, and during the middle of the night this time. The buildings may have been full of sleeping civilians.

I gotta post this meme I saw to get it out of my head

Show

All the reports only mention a single missile being launched. I guess each cluster comes from one warhead, and the missile has multiple warheads.

That would likely mean only the warheads themselves are guided, and they split into multiple projectiles to produce a sort of "shotgun blast" in an area.

Putin could do that because he could be evacuated by force if necessary, since Mongolia is a weak, non-nuclear country that neighbors Russia. He couldn't go to South Africa (I guess) because there was no good contingency plan.

Netanyahu would have no solid guarantee of escape from most countries, unless the US provides it by threatening to attack the arresting country (we'll see).

https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/130794

Dmitry Peskov says they sent a warning to the US 30 minutes before the launch

Well, I was kinda right about Russia's red line. That IRBM was definitely a response, though it was a very underwhelming one.

I did not expect the ICC to actually issue the arrest warrants, though. Good on them. Netanyahu is now effectively banned from Europe!

A few thoughts on the situation in Ukraine:

• Russia's winter power grid bombing campaign has begun (obviously)
• Ballistic missiles (Iskanders and Kinzhals) are being used freely to suppress and destroy Ukraine's air defenses, keeping the way clear at all times in case more cruise missiles need to be launched, which will target the power grid
• They are carefully hitting substations to force Ukraine to turn off their nuclear power plants without triggering a meltdown
• The unusual use of Tu-160 strategic bombers a few days ago shows that Russia considers this operation extremely important
• If Russia succeeds in disabling the nuclear power plants, it's over for Ukraine

This seems to be a potentially war-ending gambit. In the chaos of a complete blackout in eastern Ukraine, coupled with angry civilians without heat, and low morale among Ukrainian soldiers, many more options become available for Russia. Biden's unhinged escalations could be less about forcing Trump to continue the war, and more about preventing a total collapse until it's Trump's problem.

https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/130665

Another day, another $30m drone shot down in Yemen.

And it's going to get a whole lot worse now that Russia is targeting their power grid again. There will be no men available to deal with civil unrest.

Seems to have been simulated launches again.

Mall Music 3 from Dead Rising

Strikes on (evacuated) embassies would be juicy, even if it seems a bit boring at first.

Technically it should trigger Article 5, but it won't, which gives Russia a foot in the door to start salami-slicing NATO.

We'll see if they do it. Putin is still a giant cuck after all, but I'm convinced that there will be some kind of response to the long range strikes.

It's "pay as you go", so you have to be careful to stay within the free tier or else you will get charged.

Mainly just try to avoid creating extra instances, or adding too much storage.

Oracle Cloud's free tier is pretty sweet. You can make an ARM instance with 4 cores and 24GB of RAM.

They reserve resources for paid accounts, so you may need to put in a credit card to actually get one. If you're careful you'll never have to pay a dime.

Bro literally signed a document accepting Maduro's victory before fleeing to Spain

Before he sundowns for the day, I'm sure he's fully on board.

Here's an example of how Russia could retaliate, without technically escalating:

• Deploy unmanned nuclear-powered stealth submarines, armed with conventional weapons
• Transfer satellite control to some group that is hostile to the US
• Hit US assets just about anywhere in the world

I don't think they will do exactly that, but it shows how serious Biden's brinkmanship is.

https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1guyz3k/ru_pov_lavrov_explains_that_atacms_cannot_be/

Lavrov confirms the red line has been crossed, the war has entered a "qualitatively new phase", and Russia will "react accordingly".

Again, Putin didn't mince words or use vague language this time. He said long range strikes with Western weapons would mean war with NATO. Maria Zakharova and Dmitry Peskov have since pointed to that statement as Russia's current stance.

It's not about victory in the Ukraine war, but rather deterrence between great powers.

Personally, I think Russia should have drawn clear red lines much earlier, and followed through with severe, shocking responses immediately, as it's the only language neocons understand. That said, I think this red line is real. The response may be underwhelming, but I bet there will be something.

Gangs looting Gaza aid operate in areas under Israeli control, aid groups say

A U.N. memo obtained by The Post concluded that gangs “may be benefiting from a passive if not active benevolence” or “protection” from Israel’s military.

One gang leader, the memo said, established a “military like compound” in an area “restricted, controlled and patrolled by the IDF.”

Israel is stealing what little aid they "let through".