Wonder if any of the advocates of China-style lockdowns in the West will ever admit they were wrong, now that even Beijing has? https://t.co/PiKIJxBIeA— Anya Parampil (@anyaparampil) May 28, 2023
Besides that China did react correctly. They changed in my eyes for three reasons:
the West did not go Zero-Covid, this means that any quarantine in your country due to global exchange of people and goods will still have new variants getting inside your country as soon as you end it
the variants that existed (see point 1) did become infectious faster, which means that more people without symptoms and with negative tests would be infectious, this means that the medical helpers as well as those doing infrastructure and logistical work would spread stuff. So in addition to the environment (see 1) the interactions within the system changed.
in addition - especially in direct contrast between the West and Chinese actions - a small minority of Chinese people did start to protest more / tell people more they want a different approach.
This means that there were good reasons for a change and the CPC did gradually change the rules. This was good policy.
the West did not go Zero-Covid, this means that any quarantine in your country due to global exchange of people and goods will still have new variants getting inside your country as soon as you end it
This is the biggest issue. Zero Covid has little end goal unless everyone else was doing it. It's effective still, but it is a delay of the inevitable because people will slowly become more and more pissed (the Chinese population is not free from the same reactionary thinking that drives Covid policy opposition elsewhere) and you'd be forced to give it up eventually anyway.
But China I think did do a fantastic job balancing it out. Pretty much everyone who wanted to be vaccinated could be at that point multiple times over and the variants while still deadly are better overall.
I do think they changed faster than they should have but I get it's pretty difficult to soft landing especially when the anti lockdown forces were growing and you wanted to put an end to it.
Besides that China did react correctly. They changed in my eyes for three reasons:
the West did not go Zero-Covid, this means that any quarantine in your country due to global exchange of people and goods will still have new variants getting inside your country as soon as you end it
the variants that existed (see point 1) did become infectious faster, which means that more people without symptoms and with negative tests would be infectious, this means that the medical helpers as well as those doing infrastructure and logistical work would spread stuff. So in addition to the environment (see 1) the interactions within the system changed.
in addition - especially in direct contrast between the West and Chinese actions - a small minority of Chinese people did start to protest more / tell people more they want a different approach.
This means that there were good reasons for a change and the CPC did gradually change the rules. This was good policy.
This is the biggest issue. Zero Covid has little end goal unless everyone else was doing it. It's effective still, but it is a delay of the inevitable because people will slowly become more and more pissed (the Chinese population is not free from the same reactionary thinking that drives Covid policy opposition elsewhere) and you'd be forced to give it up eventually anyway.
But China I think did do a fantastic job balancing it out. Pretty much everyone who wanted to be vaccinated could be at that point multiple times over and the variants while still deadly are better overall.
I do think they changed faster than they should have but I get it's pretty difficult to soft landing especially when the anti lockdown forces were growing and you wanted to put an end to it.
Once the virus attenuates, then a country like China wouldn't need to be the odd one out.
Problem is, that could be just a few years or centuries from now.