• @SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca
    hexbear
    7
    11 months ago

    Ya know there's a country called Ukraine that's involved in this, right? They are people defending their country and they're going to do that with or without US support. And Ukraine will win in the end. Russia doesn't have enough to successfully occupy Ukraine against an organized resistance which is where things could go without military aid from the west.

    While a resistance would ultimately be successful, it would take a decade or more. And it's likely a Russian occupation of Ukraine would involve genocide. Do you want that?

    Sending military aid isn't about trying to change the outcome of the war. Russia's defeat is inevitable. The military aid is about helping Ukraine defeat Russia sooner, without the need for a prolonged resistance campaign, and that reduces the loss of life.

    • ToxicDivinity [comrade/them]
      hexbear
      22
      edit-2
      11 months ago

      When you say that Ukraine will defeat Russia do you mean Ukraine will occupy the Donbass and impose a government on them that those people don't want?

      You do know that there's a region called Donbass that is involved in this right? And they've been fighting for their lives since 2014. Why don't you care about those people?

      • Harrison [He/Him]@ttrpg.network
        hexbear
        1
        11 months ago

        It seems unlikely that the people of Donbass do want to be a part of Russia now that they've had a taste of occupation.

        Being conscripted, given third rate equipment or no equipment at all and being send to die is not generally an endearing act.

        • sharedburdens [she/her, comrade/them]
          hexbear
          15
          11 months ago

          Being conscripted, given third rate equipment or no equipment at all and being send to die is not generally an endearing act.

          This is what Ukraine's coup government has been doing for over a year at this point.

          • @PersnickityPenguin@lemm.ee
            hexbear
            2
            11 months ago

            You don't get to instigate a rebellion using your own intelligence and military assets, and then invade your neighbor and claim that you never did, that's just bullshit.

            This entire conflict was instigated by Russia.

            • GarbageShoot [he/him]
              hexbear
              11
              11 months ago

              It's very hard to invent a movement in another country. Were they backed by Russia from the outset? Obviously, but they had real reasons to be upset with what the new administration was doing. This is a little like dismissing the people who disagree with you as bots, it lets you avoid needing to consider that some people might have good reason for opposing your favored side.

              • @PersnickityPenguin@lemm.ee
                hexbear
                2
                edit-2
                11 months ago

                Yes, absolutely it was. There have been many books and publications featuring interviews and even video footage of Russian soldiers from the outset of the war. Here's an interview:

                https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2014/07/i-was-a-pro-russian-separatist-fighter-in-ukraine/374411/

                And Russia seized crimea right afterwards. Coincidence? Nope.

                And let's not forget how they"separatists" somehow were operating Russian military air defense systems.

                Igor Girkin was found responsible for shooting down MH17 by a Dutch cour.

                https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63637625

                ... But he was a Russian commander who controlled the so-called Donetsk People's Republic armed forces.

                Russian authorities on Friday detained Igor Girkin, a former Russian commander in Ukraine and prominent war blogger, reportedly on charges of promoting extremism — marking the first time Moscow has taken action against a fervent supporter of the war in Ukraine but one who voiced loud criticism of Russian leaders and their often botched military strategy.

                https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/21/russia-arrests-igor-girkin-ex-security-officer-who-led-operations-ukraine/

                "Girkin, who is also known by his nom de guerre Igor Strelkov, is an ex-officer of the Federal Security Service, or FSB. He played a role in Russia’s invasion and annexation of Crimea in 2014 and then served as a commander in Russian-controlled areas of Donbas in eastern Ukraine, where he helped foment a separatist war and was accused of extrajudicial killings."

                Russia used their guys to instigate a rebellion. If you think all rebellions are free from outside influences, you are sorely mistaken and shows complete naivete regarding the current conflict.

                • GarbageShoot [he/him]
                  hexbear
                  11
                  11 months ago

                  I just said they were Russian backed from the outset, but that does not mean Russia invented the sentiment wholecloth.