I fucking hate this. Its all for literally nothing. For fucking money. Money. Imaginary pieces of paper. Even worse, imaginary numbers on a fucking screen. Data. It's all for fucking nothing. We won't avoid the 1.5 C mark, and it might come in 5 years. 2 C would mean basically the end of any semblance of normal, at all, and the collapse of the global south. Forget even 3 degrees, I'd probably already be dead. They won. They fucking won. No revolution in the Imperial Core is possible. Everyone is a chud, or a lib, or a left anticommunist. We can't fucking win. It's over. The world is over.
What if they see 100%? That would be real bad.
But is that happening? Not according to the USDA. We're talking about the worst years producing sub-single digit shortfalls. Absolutely nothing like a 50% shortfall is happening.
Nobody is storing grain against a 50% reduction in domestic productivity. That would just mean a famine, full stop. But, again, nothing in the data is suggesting we're anywhere near that level of shortfall.
You're going to have to show me where, in the current or subsequent Five Year Plan, the Chinese government is planning for a 50% shortfall in domestic agricultural production.
I don't know what "very, very" is supposed to mean here. What is the lynchpin of domestic agricultural production in the US or China that would result in a 50% fall in crop yields?
Again, I am not talking about what's going to happen tomorrow or next year. It might not be ten years from now either (at least I hope not). We are already seeing the impacts now, yes, but we're not at 1.5 C yet nor at 2 C yet.
These events do happen already, just not globally. Drought in the US in 2021 destroyed some states' grain harvests, some states saw an almost 50% drop compared to 2020. For now, other states pick up the slack, or other seasons' planting does, but as we get closer to 2 C, the extreme weather events become more frequent and more widespread.
Drought, heat killing plants, floods, soil erosion and disruption in fertilizer production and supply lines.
China is not currently preparing for 50% crop shortfall globally, but food security and independence is a major concern for China and Xi has talked about it repeatedly.
Which state saw a 50% yield drop?
The country with a long and awful history of famine is going to have politicians fixated on preventing it from happening again.
If climate change weren't a thing, Xi would still be talking about it, because food security in a country of 1.4B people is vital.