• JoeByeThen [he/him, they/them]
    ·
    1 year ago

    Propublica - The Great Climate Migration

    According to new data from the Rhodium Group analyzed by ProPublica and The New York Times Magazine, warming temperatures and changing rainfall will drive agriculture and temperate climates northward, while sea level rise will consume coastlines and dangerous levels of humidity will swamp the Mississippi River valley.

    Taken with other recent research showing that the most habitable climate in North America will shift northward and the incidence of large fires will increase across the country, this suggests that the climate crisis will profoundly interrupt the way we live and farm in the United States. See how the North American places where humans have lived for thousands of years will shift and what changes are in store for your county.

    When I last looked, the maps showed parts of Vermont and Colorado faring best (or least worst), but given how Vermont was flooding pretty bad this summer I think a lot of our data we've got is corrupted by researchers being forced to prostrate themselves to capitalist forces in order to avoid being the victim of a chilling effect.

    • BodyBySisyphus [he/him]
      ·
      1 year ago

      The more likely explanation here is that we can make reasonably accurate predictions at coarse scales about how temperature and precipitation will trend but the models can't easily translate that into meteorological predictions. 100-year droughts/floods/storms will get more common everywhere as the total amount of energy in the atmosphere increases.