The overwhelming majority of conservatives pledging political violence if Trump loses are not actually going to do anything about it. People who live relatively comfortable lives are not going to risk it all because they are afraid of trans people and immigration, deep down they know that those issues don't actually affect them personally so they'll keep putting on a show about it. They know they will endure another Democrat presidency just fine.

I personally think that the January 6th arrests will prove to be a strong deterrent for everyone except the most exceptionally brainwormed individuals, and the FBI is probably keeping tabs on those folks already. We will see a temporary increase in Proud Boy-esque action and it will return to baseline levels within a month of inauguration.