Is it my imagination or is that number extremely low?

I predicted to the lib I work with that voter turnout this election would be far lower than last time and he was adamant that it would be high; it should be a lot higher if it's going to meet the numbers from four years ago, shouldn't it?

I expected it to be low but I didn't think it would be this bad; if this number doesn't spike it's going to be worse than 2016.

    • sovietknuckles [they/them]
      ·
      edit-2
      3 days ago

      That chart compares the number of 2024 early voters to the total number of voters in past years, not early voters in past years. That article includes another chart which shows a comparison with 2020 early voting:

      Show Early vote totals since 2012

      So Dems are definitely in a worse place than 2020, but maybe they're not doing worse than in 2016

      • UlyssesT [he/him]
        ·
        3 days ago

        Are Dems presumed to be the ones doing most of the early voting?

        • Sulvor [he/him, undecided]
          ·
          edit-2
          3 days ago

          Its actually a fairly even split last time I looked.

          Although all they know is the registration of the early voters.

          Show

          I think I'm still registered Dem from the 2016 primaries but voted for Claudia, and I imagine a non-insignificant number of Reps are voting for Kamala and the unregistered might? lean Trump

    • Parzivus [any]
      ·
      3 days ago

      They're saying early voting is pretty high this year (>50% of registered voters in NC and GA!). I would guess we're going to be around 2016 numbers.

    • Evilsandwichman [none/use name]
      hexagon
      ·
      3 days ago

      Um....if I'm understanding this chart right, this means the last time the numbers were this low was 2014?

      • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
        ·
        3 days ago

        Unless I'm making a mistake - the blue bars are the key thing: "by mail or before election day". 2014 was 31.1.

        • BodyBySisyphus [he/him]
          ·
          3 days ago

          The bars are shares, though. Assuming @vegeta1@hexbear.net's number of 154 million, 71 million is 46% of 2020's numbers

          But 2020 was also unusually high-turnout and I'm assuming more people will vote in person this time around due to ending the covid restrictions, so I'm assuming the final proportion will be higher.

          • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
            ·
            3 days ago

            I don't particularly like the infographic I shared but I got very tired of googling due to google itself and SEO articles that go on and on but there are no infographics. I don't want to read about numbers. I never do. Show it to me as infographics that's what they're for.