2024 kamala wins, ten different jan 6-like events occur around country
2025 kamala does "inflation reduction act 2" much like the first one it has little effect on inflation
2026 trump dies and inspires a red wave
2027 the Dems begin mass deportations to prove their bipartisanship
2028 the republicans shatter into three factions - QAnon, Peter Thiel acolytes, and the returning Bush era style Republicans lead by Liz Cheney - and because of this fail to unite behind a single candidate, allowing Kamala to cruise to a second term with only 40% of the vote
2029 there is a military coup lead by QAnon true believers in the Air Force. it is poorly coordinated and understaffed - but it doesn't get crushed either, instead becoming a frozen conflict by the end of the year
2030 China lands on the moon. SpaceX is now diverting the entire American space budget into Starlink launches. Elon says we'll be on Mars by 2035.
2031 the "QAnon coup" has expanded and is now threatening multiple governor's houses. In the Northeast it is crushed by the intelligence establishment, in Texas it becomes legitimized as several of its leaders are invited into the Abbot administration, and in California a weeklong siege of the State House is broken when Gavin Newsom personally talks to some tank commanders and convinces them to defect.
2032 It is clear by now that Kamala has no actual power internally, and externally US dollar hegemony finally collapses. Various state governors begin to question publicly the point of having a federal government in the first place.
2033 Eric Trump becomes president. He initially signals to the intelligence establishment that he wants to help them reunite the country - but he is in fact only interested in stripping out the copper wiring as the federal government undergoes its final collapse.
2034 Newsom and Abbot secretly divide up the country into two blocs and to seal the deal announce that US citizens in their states will no longer have to pay federal income tax. The collapse of the tax system that follows marks the final dissolution of the federal government.
2035 China's moon base demonstrates Lunar hydroponics farming and ISRU to create the first self-sufficient presence on another celestial body. Elon Musk has been put in charge of Texas' space program, and promises a Mars landing by 2040.
2036 Neither the United American States nor the American United States take responsibility for paying the old USA's federal debt, and everyone with treasury bonds is left holding the bag. In hindsight, it's exactly how America was always destined to end - like a Ponzi scheme.
That last line
this was a very funny read, thank you
doesn't seem terribly far-fetched