I'd bet money on it. Joe Biden's failure to do anything material for the public, the crushed railroad strike followed by what happened in East Palestine months later, his unquestioned backing of Israel, failure to materialize any meaningful student loan debt relief. He's running the Obama playbook without any of the charisma.
My 100% honest, best guess is that Joe wins the popular vote and loses the EC, just like how Trump won last time
Joe Biden’s failure to do anything material for the public
Yeah...he literally put $1400 in your pocket, assuming you're American, at the beginning of his administration in response to the covid-19 virus.
American politics is basically one big ol' recency bias. The most recent events weigh more heavily than a holistic view of the candidate. That's why George W. Bush can paint fucking puppies and the media that used to disparage him now fawns. It's also why the 24 hr news cycle is so effective: Americans think being informed means being up-to-date.
Yeah...he literally put $1400 in your pocket, assuming you're American, at the beginning of his administration in response to the covid-19 virus.
Trump did it twice, plus Biden promised $2000 and walked that back when he was in office.
Ignoring everything else, Trump pushed for the checks and called on congress to make increases to what was given out. Biden sent out a lower amount than what he promised and then presided over the clusterfuck that was the end of the pandemic.
Yeah...he literally put $1400 in your pocket, assuming you're American, at the beginning of his administration in response to the covid-19 virus.
I am American. He literally didn't do that. I'm not going to dox myself any further than I already have on 3 years of hexbear but I was disqualifies from claiming any money out of a thin pretext. I absolutely could have used that money and frankly I deserved it as much as any other American did. $1400 was already a point negotiated down from $2000, and this was in direct response to a century defining global catastrophe
Americans will not line up out the door out of the polling stations to vote for a guy who, in time of great crisis, did the absolute bare minimum
Americans will not line up out the door out of the polling stations to vote for a guy who, in time of great crisis, did the absolute bare minimum
Oh, so they won't vote for neither Biden nor Trump!? Great time to push a third party into office!
But they'll absolutely line up for a guy that did the most to exacerbate the time of great crisis.
Americans...gotta love 'em.
I’m going to say no. The loudest people don’t always seem to make it to the polls. Here in Illinois, we heard lots of hate for Pritzker. Anti JB signs everywhere. Only 58% turned out to vote and Pritzker was declared the winner within hours of the polls opening
Yeah. I do think he will. Most people I know are pro Trump and have been consistently and vocally since last election.
No. I think a lot more people on the right were excited about him when he was an unknown quantity. Now that they’ve seen him in office and none of what they wanted happened (no wall, no Hillary arrest) a lot of the energy has diffused and the election is going to be decided by middle - upper class suburban whites who crave normalcy. I lived in Florida in 2016 and everywhere you looked there were trump flags, trump merchandise, etc. I just drove across the country and saw like three trump signs, one in Indiana, one in Kansas, and one in Colorado, and the one in Colorado just said, “thank you for trying to make our country great again”. Loser shit. The energy just isn’t there.
Also consider the shifting demographics. A lot of older people who tend to vote republican died of Covid these last few years while a lot of young people who grew up on anti-trump media and naturally skew left are entering voting age. There are some right wing young people but not a ton, especially compared to previous generations.
We might not have another republican president for a few election cycles. I think when we eventually do, it’ll be a young, savvy politician who doesn’t talk about culture war stuff as much but “just wants to keep taxes low and put America first”, like a further right Pete buttigieg. The current strategy of latching into divisive culture war stuff isn’t working. They want to recreate 2016 but 2016 was such a one in a million aligning of specific conditions that it’s unlikely to work again, even with bidens falling approval ratings due to unpopular support of Israel.
I think it's a coin flip. You could point to ten reasons it's "obvious" Trump will win and I could give you ten reasons it's "obvious" he won't.
considering that he doesnt have the nomination, no. he may not get the nomination. if he does? oh yeah.
