The US is obviously on the decline and in some ways it has already collapsed, but I'm talking about the timeline for the end of the collapse, not the beginning. It's tempting to believe itll happen in my lifetime, but i fear that might just be cope on my part. I hope I'll be alive to witness the death of the thing I hate most in the world, but it feels a bit like millenarianism to confidently state "hell yeah, the final collapse is gonna happen during my lifetime," so I'm hesitant to hold out hope for it. Every time I've hoped for anything, it hasn't happened.
Do you think the US can resist balkanization and/or another form of the collapse of state power for 20 more years? 50? 100? What do you think will be the straw that breaks the camel's back, and why? How do you think power will reorganize in the aftermath? Sound off in the comments below, and don't forget to like and subscribe.
Balkanization would happen after a legitimacy crisis such that the feds don't really exist anymore, losing capacity to do anything except war. Each initial group would claim to be Real America.
At that point, what could be known as de-facto USA would cease to exist, and I dunno about you, but the fed blob exists solely to further and justify its own existence, America will sooner be ravaged by civil war before the fed itelf ceases to function, or, more accurately, even in the midst of a civil war, the CIA/NSA/FBI etc will continue doing their usual work undeterred and unabated as if there's nothing else going on, and indeed may present themselves as a government unto itself, promising a continuation of law, order, and capitalism.
Balkanization would imply a civil war, tho.
Eh, it can happen in many ways, but I really do not see any form of secession, formal or de facto without being de jure, happening. Maybe, just maybe, if some other political force outside of the usual class dynamics took control of a state at the state and local level in its near totality, could I see some formal withdrawal, and that would kick off some kind of civil war, not the other way around.
The thing that would drive this would be material interests, of course. Like a large-scale internal refugee crisis that pits states' ruling class interests against one another.