Even the catastrophic scenario means Ukraine loses lots of territory (Odessa) but is still able to stabilize the front and survive.
"rules-based world order"
Even the catastrophic scenario means Ukraine loses lots of territory (Odessa) but is still able to stabilize the front and survive.
"rules-based world order"
What if the settlement involves a Russian-driven security guarantee?
Since an obvious read of the war is "Russia wants a sphere of influence", a sarcastic take on that is "sure, but you have to pay the costs of having one."
Then the West starts asking ChatGPT how to translate "Bay of Pigs" into Ukranian, and trying to make their obligation an expensive hassle without actually tripping a treaty.
Don't you know? Russia is an evil country run by extra evil orks and the most extra evil ork of all is Putin, that's why Ukraine can't trust Russia to agree to any security deals, because they would just break them! Probably, I think, maybe. The western media tells me that they will, so that's good enough for to switch my brain off and stop thinking for myself on this one!