• 63 Posts
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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: November 27th, 2021

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  • That first study you linked about the Medieval Warm Period was written by just one guy (wonder why he couldn’t get anyone else to co-sign his paper) and they’re basically climate change deniers, not “we shouldn’t be alarmists”-ers.

    The work I linked is not a study. It cited many studies on the Medieval Warm Period.

    I think you are basing him being a denier on what he said in 2013, it's about the haitus and he's acknowledged warming in the 1900s. (“Global warming ended in 1998. […] There has been no global warming in 15 years.”). This was said at the end of the 15-year hiatus (1998-2014). The hiatus was even acknowledged by the IPCC in its 2013 report.

    And here's Chinese climate scientists acknowledging a decrease in temperatures in North America during that time period in a peer-reviewed journal. So there was some substance to what he was saying at the time. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2018EA000443

    In North America, the minimum temperature experienced an obvious decline during 1998–2014

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    Edit: I'll respond to the first part too in a later reply.


  • The medieval warm period was warmer than present and society flourished during that time. This period lasted from 900 to 1300 AD.

    https://est.ufba.br/sites/est.ufba.br/files/kim/medievalwarmperiod.pdf

    https://www.scmp.com/article/700638/china-gives-history-lesson-warming

    Chinese scientists say that Chinese society prospered during warmer times.

    From the prosperity of the Shang dynasty 3,600 years ago to the ruin of the Bronze Age, the cultural peak of the Tang dynasty in the seventh to 10th centuries and the subsequent ravages wrought by horsemen from the north, Chinese civilisation has reached its highest points when temperatures have been warmest and its lowest points when they have cooled.

    Wang Zijin , an environmental historian at Beijing Normal University, said the relationship between temperature and success was no coincidence. When the weather cooled, agricultural output fell, wealth contracted, discontent rose and China became more vulnerable to invasion from the north.

    'In the long term, warming may not be a curse but a blessing [to China],' he said. 'According to what happened in the past, if the temperature continues to rise in the future we may not see the return of elephants, but it will be very possible that rice and bamboo can again grow along the Yellow River. Xinjiang , Gansu and Inner Mongolia will become much more habitable than they are today.'






  • Changes in the climate might decrease yields, however CO2 concentration directly increases them. This should recover 60% to over 100% (wheat increased, soybean fully recovered) of the losses due to climate change depending on the crop from 2000-2080 according to NASA.

    So if you take the 50% loss of corn due to lack of moisture stated in your report, recovered by 60%. It should be ~20% decrease (time period probably starts from 2020s in the report, so this calculation is off), while wheat will increase by 10% overall according to NASA.

    Farmers may switch to the more productive crops to compensate.

    https://www.nasa.gov/technology/nasa-study-rising-carbon-dioxide-levels-will-help-and-hurt-crops/


  • Edit: Downvoters please reply. For clarification, I am just arguing against the claim that climate change will "kill us all" in the literal sense.

    Cold weather still kills way more people than hot weather. Warming has decreased the overall temperature-related deaths. 650,000 fewer people die per year than in the 80s and 90s. 18 million die per year from cold weather, 2.2 million from hot weather.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuacohen/2023/07/19/excessive-summer-heat-can-kill-but-extreme-cold-causes-more-fatalities/?sh=135860881d88

    Interestingly, during the 2000-2019 period examined in the study, while heat-related deaths rose, deaths from cold exposure fell. And they decreased by a larger amount than the increase in heat-related fatalities. Overall, researchers estimated that approximately 650,000 fewer people worldwide died from temperature exposure during the 2000-2019 period than in the 1980s and 1990s.

    World population has grown (4x) but natural disaster deaths have decreased to a fraction (less than 1/10th or less than 5,000 per year). This is because we are better prepared. A 40+x increase is required to reach 1920 levels per capita. And that 50,000 per year would still not be able to beat the 650,000 fewer people dying from temperature per year.

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  • I've heard many people say they'll vote Putin till he's gone and then vote KPRF. Rally around the flag effect seems huge at the moment. Still there was one good aspect that stood out to me:

    Communists delivered 26 million copies of their program across the country (for the first time not skipping a single subject) which the other candidates severely lacked, a win regardless of the electoral result.

    https://kprf.ru/activity/elections/225109.html

    Machine translation of Kharitonov's belief in its immediate implementation:

    “Our program will make its way literally from tomorrow. In all regions, in all territories, it was received favorably, and people hope for its implementation. And we will implement it directly,” Kharitonov noted at a briefing on Sunday evening.

    In his opinion, the current head of state, Vladimir Putin, has taken on enormous responsibility.

    “If he wins, one can only wish for one thing: to justify the trust of his voters,” he emphasized, Rossiyskaya Gazeta reports.

    Let us remind you that Putin is in the lead with 87.26% in the presidential elections based on the results of processing 60% of the protocols. Second place goes to Kharitonov, who received 4.18% of the votes.


  • In quotes is a good response from ChatGPT on the matter, she did not discover the greenhouse effect, only the absorption of energy.

    Her experiment on it's own would support a cooling effect (she showed that CO2 absorbs solar radiation, not the greenhouse effect (which is based on the absorption of outgoing infrared radiation):

    If carbon dioxide (CO2) simply absorbed energy, including sunlight, without re-emitting it, it could lead to cooling at the Earth's surface. This is because the absorbed energy would not be radiated back to the surface, resulting in a net loss of energy from the Earth-atmosphere system.

    Greenhouse effect described:

    However, in the context of the greenhouse effect, CO2 (and other greenhouse gases) not only absorb incoming solar radiation but also absorb and re-emit infrared (IR) radiation emitted by the Earth's surface. This process traps some of the outgoing IR radiation, preventing it from escaping into space and thereby warming the Earth's surface and lower atmosphere. This trapping of IR radiation is what contributes to the warming effect known as the greenhouse effect.





  • Most of the article is complaining about the horrible disaster it would be if the entire world suddenly stopped using fossil fuels completely tomorrow without any plan or infrastructure to transition. Nobody is seriously proposing this as a solution, and this would never and could never happen in reality.

    German electricity consumption is below 1978 level under the Greens. https://lemmygrad.ml/post/3297071

    Edit: Also I am aware of how climate works, 2024 being a record year isn't anything significant. But many predictions have been made of ice-free summers by 2030, yet it's 2024 and we didn't even reach 50% in the 2012 anomaly and the decade + after.

    Here's are scientists from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, they published a peer-reviewed study on cooling in Northern China They reported to have found no evidence of anthropogenic warming, but haven't ruled it out either. They are concerned of a strengthening cooling trend. https://www.sott.net/article/418422-Global-cooling-to-replace-warming-trend-that-started-4000-years-ago-Chinese-scientists

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  • I am not sure but it might be possible but unfortunately not easily accessible.

    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/07/14/its-hell-russias-transgender-community-rushes-to-undergo-gender-reassignment-as-legal-ban-looms-a81839

    Currently, those hoping to change their gender marker and seek gender-affirming surgeries and treatments must first undergo a challenging process involving a specialized medical commission only available in major cities like Moscow.



  • The same situation exists in China by the way (homosexual TV dramas banned since 2016, no gay marriage, no transitioning for minors). I believe it would be an exaggeration to say it is in the "process of removing queer people from public life entirely" ? Homosexual marriage is a poor yardstick for LGBT rights. Russia and China are also sexually conservative not just with minors being exposed to homosexuality but with heteronormative porn as well.

    The following is written by someone who worked with Soviet authorities to save thousands of homosexuals and the president of the largest European gay political association, Ornicar Project on European countries perpetuating LGBT discrimination and how gay marriage is used as a mask. https://www.voltairenet.org/article213494.html

    Russia:

    https://polit.ru/news/2008/05/23/donors/ ---> 2008 Russia allows men who have sex with men to donate blood

    https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-duma-rejects-antigay-coming-out-bill/27562736.html ---> 2016, the Communist Party's draft resolution to ban homosexuals from coming out is unanimously rejected.

    2018, Russia's health ministry makes it easier for Transgender people to change their gender on legal documents.





  • So we went from "wholesale criminalization of queer folk" to "It's the same thing".

    Here's the difference: Conservatives in America want LGBT to be banned because they say they are pedos targetting children.

    Whereas Putin is conservative in regards to wanting children to make the choice when they grow up. It's like freedom of religion in China, you have to be over 18.

    There's still a massive difference between those societies that actually criminalize homosexuality and Russia which decriminalized it, you refuse to see that. And I have seen that you call Russia imperialist like the other western social-chauvinists. It's quite clear you don't want to discuss or learn, so here's your ban.