And for a very simple reason.....he hasn't been racist and genocidal enough, Biden has, so Trump loses pure and simple
While you and me see dead children on TV, the American "middle class" see dead terrorists and soon the dems will tie inflation to Yemen and can literally construct a narrative about "bombing inflation" a consultants wet dream
When the initial shock of recent events wears off, American voters won't punish Biden, they'll reward him with the wartime boost he's been looking for since Ukraine
Trump in the meantime is still babbling about 2020 and his court dates, he needs at least five "Mexican rapist" stump speeches to reach parity with Biden
It's Joever folks, Biden secured 2024 with the blood Palestinians the same way Bush secured 2004 with the blood of Iraqi, it even has a historical symmetry that rhymes
It's inevitable that the Republican Party will wither away, as they are the backward force representing less developed areas in the U.S. and they lag behind the tide of imperialism (opposition to Ukraine support, “America first,” support to troops only nationalistically) represented by the Democratic Party which has its support in the big cities and undoubtedly holds the majority base. Republicans are only kept around as a “bad cop” to rally support for the Democrats and prevent the emergence of an alternative movement.
We’ve seen progressive legal action taken recently by several Democratic states to remove Trump from the primary/Presidential ballot, which you could say won’t have much impact on the election considering how things are run in the U.S., and might even be overturned when the Supreme Court weighs in. At the same time it is the central government that’s been peddling the Jan. 6 insurrection myth, so you could take this to mean that the feds understand the Republicans should be vilified but still given the potential of taking power, while Democratic states/local officials are not clued in and take the federal government’s statements to their logical conclusion.
You can never be sure what will happen in the future, as Biden or Trump might die or whatever else, but I have $400 on Trump losing and I’m pretty lucky, so I’d write that down as a lock.