We need to start treating AI development, and its potential impact on the possibility of a humane world, as seriously as we treat climate change. I’m not even talking about existential risk or far-flung, distantly possible applications. I am talking about things that are coming in the next half-decade. I’m talking about stuff that’s technically already possible but is still in the implementation phase.
My summary: we need to democratize all powerful institutions like yesterday. Seriously y'all we're running out of time
I think that it will put pressure on salaries, AI automation tools may not fully replace coders, but it will definitely make the work that used to take a two frontends, a UX designer, two backends to do, be able to be achieved with a frontend and a backend, or maybe just a single fullstack, so outside of whether AI can fully replace programmers, my thinking is that it doesn't need to in order to have a negative impact on job availability on the short to medium term. Who knows, maybe what will happen instead is that we see a lot of tiny startups, which also sounds hellish in some regards. I'm also wary though of what sort of problems may be able to be generalized, or if I'm vastly overestimating the amount of edge cases that cannot be automated by adversarial networks. FYI GANs can already generate UX code given an english prompt and it's a matter of time till they can generate finished CRUD applications, which will cover most IT work, but I don't see it adjusting to whatever existing business idiosyncrasies without some form of human input. Still very bad!
Yeah it certainly might reduce the number of tech people, especially in frontend stuff where a manager could conceivably come up with a general design and have an AI spit something similar out in short order, but it falls into the same category as traditional automation in that it might replace a bunch of jobs but paradoxically create a bunch of new ones to work around the automation for QA and such.
I think that it will put pressure on salaries, AI automation tools may not fully replace coders, but it will definitely make the work that used to take a two frontends, a UX designer, two backends to do, be able to be achieved with a frontend and a backend, or maybe just a single fullstack, so outside of whether AI can fully replace programmers, my thinking is that it doesn't need to in order to have a negative impact on job availability on the short to medium term. Who knows, maybe what will happen instead is that we see a lot of tiny startups, which also sounds hellish in some regards. I'm also wary though of what sort of problems may be able to be generalized, or if I'm vastly overestimating the amount of edge cases that cannot be automated by adversarial networks. FYI GANs can already generate UX code given an english prompt and it's a matter of time till they can generate finished CRUD applications, which will cover most IT work, but I don't see it adjusting to whatever existing business idiosyncrasies without some form of human input. Still very bad!
Yeah it certainly might reduce the number of tech people, especially in frontend stuff where a manager could conceivably come up with a general design and have an AI spit something similar out in short order, but it falls into the same category as traditional automation in that it might replace a bunch of jobs but paradoxically create a bunch of new ones to work around the automation for QA and such.