When this war ends, the military front-line will become the new frontier between Ukraine and Russia. I would expect it to be within half the width of a Ukrainian oblast to the left or the right of the current battle line. Western Ukraine would become part of Nato and, eventually, the EU. The new frontline would become part of Nato's operational frontier for the purposes of Article 5, its collective defence clause. If Russia crossed that line, it would be at war with Nato.
If this is the compromise position they're offering now (and this article seems ahead of where most NATO governments actually are), this is going to go on a lot longer.
I don't see how the west can physically keep this going a lot longer. They're literally running out of everything at this point, and can't even produce gunpowder now.
Via terrorist attacks. They've been doing it for a while now and will likely only expand. Drones getting flung into places far from the Ukrainian border, likely launched locally.
They will likely keep doing terrorism in the foreseeable future, but the whole regime is likely to collapse before long. At that point the west will likely be no safer than Russia in that regard. A lot of very angry nationalists will feel deeply betrayed by the west and will want revenge.
If this is the compromise position they're offering now (and this article seems ahead of where most NATO governments actually are), this is going to go on a lot longer.
I don't see how the west can physically keep this going a lot longer. They're literally running out of everything at this point, and can't even produce gunpowder now.
Via terrorist attacks. They've been doing it for a while now and will likely only expand. Drones getting flung into places far from the Ukrainian border, likely launched locally.
They will likely keep doing terrorism in the foreseeable future, but the whole regime is likely to collapse before long. At that point the west will likely be no safer than Russia in that regard. A lot of very angry nationalists will feel deeply betrayed by the west and will want revenge.
Mujahideen 2: Ukrainian Boogaloo!
History repeats as a farce.
Arguably muhajadeen 3. Second one was "Ichkeria", aka the islamist regime that took over Chechnya
This feels like a repackaged frozen conflict narrative.
me when my Idea of NATO and the EU is entirely based on vibes