Thinking that that means he will necessarily lose to the first challenger who we've arbitrarily picked out as "the competent fascist" when he has beaten other competent reactionaries like Ted Cruz is, uh, not a reasonable perspective. Who's to say that it won't be 2028 or later where the genuine fascists start to take over?
The guy who likes incest porn on main and escapes his state whenever something bad happens is competetnt? Not saying Trump can't win but his 2016 opponents weren't the cream of the crop.
It's important to remember how much help Trump got in 2016. He got a ridiculous amount of free press on both Fox and CNN -- they'd both just run his stump speeches live. They also never focused on any of his scandals for more than a week. Plus, the GOP establishment never circled the wagons against him the way Obama called in the fix on Sanders in 2020.
Say DeSantis declares first and gets a lot of support out of the gate. The establishment decides he'd basically be Trump with less baggage. Trump eventually decides to run, but the free press spigot is shut off and his social media reach is limited to diehards who are tech-savvy enough to dig up whatever Twitter clone his now on. The mainstream press he does get soon focuses on his latest scandal and dogs him with that for months, turning a bunch of negative background noise into a unified "this is disqualifying." As the primaries get closer a bunch of party elders play the role of Obama in 2020 and privately twist arms. Televised debates would be the only way for Trump to really gain ground, but maybe those don't happen, and a one-on-one format isn't his strong suit (he dropped a bunch after most or all of his one-on-one debates).
He has some valuable retail politics skills, but that's only valuable if it's given an audience.
Yeah I remember MSNBC not only running his speech live, he showed up late so they broadcast an empty podium for an hour in anticipation of :trump-anguish:
Thinking that Trump won't be replaced by a competent fascist is exactly the same level of naivety as libs who think he's going to jail.
Thinking that that means he will necessarily lose to the first challenger who we've arbitrarily picked out as "the competent fascist" when he has beaten other competent reactionaries like Ted Cruz is, uh, not a reasonable perspective. Who's to say that it won't be 2028 or later where the genuine fascists start to take over?
The guy who likes incest porn on main and escapes his state whenever something bad happens is competetnt? Not saying Trump can't win but his 2016 opponents weren't the cream of the crop.
It's important to remember how much help Trump got in 2016. He got a ridiculous amount of free press on both Fox and CNN -- they'd both just run his stump speeches live. They also never focused on any of his scandals for more than a week. Plus, the GOP establishment never circled the wagons against him the way Obama called in the fix on Sanders in 2020.
Say DeSantis declares first and gets a lot of support out of the gate. The establishment decides he'd basically be Trump with less baggage. Trump eventually decides to run, but the free press spigot is shut off and his social media reach is limited to diehards who are tech-savvy enough to dig up whatever Twitter clone his now on. The mainstream press he does get soon focuses on his latest scandal and dogs him with that for months, turning a bunch of negative background noise into a unified "this is disqualifying." As the primaries get closer a bunch of party elders play the role of Obama in 2020 and privately twist arms. Televised debates would be the only way for Trump to really gain ground, but maybe those don't happen, and a one-on-one format isn't his strong suit (he dropped a bunch after most or all of his one-on-one debates).
He has some valuable retail politics skills, but that's only valuable if it's given an audience.
Yeah I remember MSNBC not only running his speech live, he showed up late so they broadcast an empty podium for an hour in anticipation of :trump-anguish: