Tomorrow is gonna be nuts...Flurry of unconfirmed rumorsAll 14nm and below tools banned from China?All NAND/DRAM tools banned from China?All high end AI chips banned from China?High end DC CPUs like Genoa banned from China?All China fabless firms banned from EUV nodes?— Dylan Patel (@dylan522p) October 7, 2022
One of several articles on this:
https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-china-supercomputers-idCAKBN2R223O
I think that outcome relies on NATO dissolving (or equivalent) to let the EU off the USA's leash (possible), India's domestic politics being centered on something other than exterminating muslims (no idea), and a slowing or stoppage of China's formidable momentum towards dominance in semiconductor manufacture (unlikely)
Not saying it's impossible, or even the least likely outcome, but the status quo projected forward feels like the safer bet to me
I could be overestimating the importance of semiconductors in this thing though. Biden could just be doing it out of imperial terror and spite rather than a solid strategy
I’d sooner bet on the EU reverting back to the mean of Europeans trying to kill each other over petty grudges and power/resource struggles
Being in europe I agree with this take. I don't think some in the US realise quite how shaky the EU is now. Brexit may be first in a line of dominos that ends it as contradictions tighten.
As nationalism in each state rises the EU continually weakens. Individual state nationalism and the EU are incompatible, it will need to reorganise into something federal and find a way to create an EU-wide nationalism that people support or the nationalism of each individual state will result in further splits.
There are five EU countries with declining opinions of the EU over the last 12 years, Italy (-20 points), Spain (-14), France (-11) and Slovakia (-9). All of these have been caused by the right wing movements.
Greece should be on the watchlist too but because the left is strong there and anti-EU.
Fragmentation itself will come from the nationalism in individual states in my opinion. It's the rise of the right that will cause it to fall apart. Italy would probably be the soonest to go.
I think that outcome relies on NATO dissolving (or equivalent) to let the EU off the USA's leash (possible), India's domestic politics being centered on something other than exterminating muslims (no idea), and a slowing or stoppage of China's formidable momentum towards dominance in semiconductor manufacture (unlikely)
Not saying it's impossible, or even the least likely outcome, but the status quo projected forward feels like the safer bet to me
I could be overestimating the importance of semiconductors in this thing though. Biden could just be doing it out of imperial terror and spite rather than a solid strategy
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Being in europe I agree with this take. I don't think some in the US realise quite how shaky the EU is now. Brexit may be first in a line of dominos that ends it as contradictions tighten.
As nationalism in each state rises the EU continually weakens. Individual state nationalism and the EU are incompatible, it will need to reorganise into something federal and find a way to create an EU-wide nationalism that people support or the nationalism of each individual state will result in further splits.
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There are five EU countries with declining opinions of the EU over the last 12 years, Italy (-20 points), Spain (-14), France (-11) and Slovakia (-9). All of these have been caused by the right wing movements.
Greece should be on the watchlist too but because the left is strong there and anti-EU.
Fragmentation itself will come from the nationalism in individual states in my opinion. It's the rise of the right that will cause it to fall apart. Italy would probably be the soonest to go.
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Isn't that the book people cite to call him a genocide denier
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UK vs France nuclear war