Gates directed this year’s letter toward high school students, complete with personal details including his early affinity for Superman comic books, his bad grades in middle school and his love of Cocoa Puffs cereal. (Melinda Gates, who focused the second half of the letter on gender equality, prefers Wheat Chex). He punctuates his letter with a simple mathematical equation he concocted that underscores the need for what he calls an “energy miracle”.

P x S x E x C = CO2 (carbon dioxide output).

It’s a neat little formula because it drives home the point: that for all the Paris climate talks and more affordable Teslas, environmental incrementalism is somewhat pointless. In the equation, P = population; S = services used by people; E= the energy needed to power those services; and C equals the carbon dioxide created by that energy. Population is of course trending ever-higher, as are the services people demand, especially in the developing world which has barely scratched the surface in terms of cars and air conditioning and other modern basics. Those two factors swamp progress in energy efficiency. Gates points out that scientists are calling for an 80 percent drop in carbon emissions by 2050 (and a total end by 2100) to stave off the most dramatic effects of climate change, yet even with more efficiency, the growth in population and services means that emissions will instead jump by 50%.

Math 101: the only way to get to zero carbon dioxide output is to drop one of those inputs to zero. Since eliminating any carbon byproduct of energy is preferable to a complete human die-off or a stone age suite of services, that’s the only path. Shaving at the margins simply won’t get the job done; only a moonshot solution that provides unlimited clean energy will stave off environmental (and thus, economic) catastrophe.

https://archive.md/yI8Zu

  • BynarsAreOk [none/use name]
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    edit-2
    2 years ago

    Perfect example of why you need to be a narcissist in order to get rich. They constantly need to think the world is about them and their ideas are more important than everything else.

    Not surprising how Gates is so similar to Musk here. Absolutely no experience or education in any of these things, and yet they constantly feel the need to teach us. Heck not even just teach the normal dumbass average joe which you could again be cynical and claim it is not like the average public is that smart either.

    Instead they feel the need to teach actual professionals, researchers and academics on their own fields. Why would anyone that spent any amount of time researching climate change pay any attention to this nonsense?

    Did he figure people needed to learn that human activity is correlated with CO2 emissions?

    His equation is also so absurdly stupid, I guess he figured services is a catch all term for "economy" even though mainstream economics already makes a distinction between production and services. If this is the case... I don't know... honestly this feels like someone teaching a toddler about trees making oxygen and why they are good all over again and then pretending they are smart for doing it.

    Come on please papa Gates, draw us a tree and a sun for us so we can understand it better too! Here you can have these fucking crayons, I beg you!