I'm not much of a tech person and I have no idea if my observations are worth anything, but from where I'm sitting it seems computer technology isn't advancing anywhere near as quickly as it was from the 80s to the early 2010s.

The original Moore's law is dead and has been for a very long time, but the less specific trend of rapidly increasing computational power doesn't seem to hold much water anymore either. The laptop I have now doesn't feel like much of an improvement on the laptop I had four years ago at a similar price point. And the laptop I had six years ago is really only marginally worse.

So for those in the know on the relevant industry, how are things looking in general? What is the expected roadmap for the next 10 to 20 years? Will we ever get to the point where a cheap notebook is capable of running today's most demanding games at the highest settings, 144fps, and 4k resolution? Sort of like how today's notebooks can run the most intensive games of the 90s/early 2000s.

  • silent_water [she/her]
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    caches are going to get larger and memory/storage bandwidth will increase for at least another cycle or two. most of the wins coming down the pipe are for power efficiency improvements (though they keep trying to use those to pull more out of the silicon, past the point of diminishing returns). I think that's the closest we're getting to SSD level improvements. more cache on-die is a noticeable improvement if the code isn't shitty.