My QAnon-brained coworker is trying to convince me that Texas is joining BRICS and we're going to go back to the gold standard. Also this man is heavily invested in the Iraqi dinar currency. He obviously couldn't explain what any of that meant, so I'm coming to the one source I can trust; strangers on the internet. What the hell is gonna happen?
Over the course of the next 5-10 years dedollarisation will continue, eventually hyper inflation will hit the US, money printing will no longer be possible, water will rise in value and it will be impossible for the US to maintain its 1000 military bases around the world of which 70% of all overseas military costs of the US army are water. The US empire will become untenable and begin a process of retraction that the British empire and so many other empires went through.
The danger is that the US will start ww3 before this hits them.
do you have a link before i start digging through budget requests and shit? this is a great data point and i cant find much with a quick google.
The Pentagon did their own report in 2019 on the threat of the US military collapsing in the next 20 years, citing climate change and the cost of water as the leading threat. They aim to mitigate this with technology improvements but I call bullshit and see these as easy targets of sabotage. https://climateandsecurity.files.wordpress.com/2019/07/implications-of-climate-change-for-us-army_army-war-college_2019.pdf
I was apparently slightly misremembering the report, water is currently 40% of their costs but expected to rise to 70% of their costs. If I were interested in kicking the US military bases out of my country the focus of my attention would be on sabotaging their water in a way that raises the cost to maintain their bases to untenable levels.
No need to sabotage their water. They do it themselves. :agony-shivering:
Yeah there are probably things like this abroad that never get disclosed. Generally speaking though I'm talking about maoists in south america that want rid of the bases or comrades in parts of asia. Any bases that are inland are probably particularly susceptible.
thanks for getting back to me so quick!
Likelihood of the military getting what it needs quickly enough to mitigate this given the VAST size of their overseas organisation? Near zero. I see a contraction of the US military as inevitable. If climate change weren't happening and water costs weren't skyrocketing they would probably last much longer but the situation for them is that they are vastly oversized for the circumstances.
How will they respond to this? I assume they will pick a theatre that they consider the highest priority and pull resources out of all other theatres. The priority will probably be China or Africa while others will be necessarily contracted as their abilities reach their limits and opponents seize on this obvious weakness to drive the knife in.
They will probably incline towards total domination of Latin America
You think? And leave Africa, the Middle East, Asia and Europe to China who is benefited by the contiguous landmass?
I think they will compete as hard as possible until their dying breath. Knowing full well that getting locked into south america only would lose them every single battle.