this is vaguely related to the string theory related post from a day or two ago, it's all bazinga science folks TL;DW string theory is a big thing because people that read pop science really liked it and it took a long time for physicists to come out in force and say "this is untestable garbage"
I agree with you completely. He could simply do better. We are speculating on odds. Of which I am not as optimistic as you.
If I was in a position to try to talk the man into a more just course of action it might matter, but in these particulars it does not
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