If Biden overperforms less than half as much as Beto, Biden takes Texas.
On the ground, I've seen so many Biden signs in suburbs. It's crazy. I know every year libs be like "Texas is going blue," but I think it actually might. Just this cycle, though, and then our legislature will make sure it doesn't happen again.
Go into the countryside, you'll see more Trump signs. GOP has reliable voters, The Dems don't. Yard signs might be a sign of desperation at this point.