Maine being 50/50 is definitely not happening. It has 4 delegates that go proportionally, and Maine is looking very blue this time. It awards 2 for popular vote, which Biden will get, then the other two for the winner of the two congressional districts, which will be at least 50/50. So Biden will get 3 delegates, or 4, if his win is distributed evenly across the state.
EDIT: I'm not sure if the prediction above is counting on 2/4 or 3/4 delegates though. If its counting on 3, maybe its in line.
Oh, so the only state result thats not the same as what the betting odds are predicting already is Biden losing Pennsylvania? Terrifying. https://www.predictit.org/
Maine being 50/50 is definitely not happening. It has 4 delegates that go proportionally, and Maine is looking very blue this time. It awards 2 for popular vote, which Biden will get, then the other two for the winner of the two congressional districts, which will be at least 50/50. So Biden will get 3 delegates, or 4, if his win is distributed evenly across the state.
EDIT: I'm not sure if the prediction above is counting on 2/4 or 3/4 delegates though. If its counting on 3, maybe its in line.
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Oh, so the only state result thats not the same as what the betting odds are predicting already is Biden losing Pennsylvania? Terrifying. https://www.predictit.org/