Around a decade seems like a realistic time frame to me. In my opinion, two big factors driving the collapse are climate change and the rise of BRICS.
US is seeing an increasing number of environmental disasters every year, and this puts pressure on the already ailing infrastructure. Changing climate is also causing droughts that will make large parts of the country unlivable leading to internal migrations of millions of people. The droughts are also causing harvest failures that will eventually result in food shortages. US farming practices also contribute to the problem because they cause soil erosion. I expect that these factors will significantly accelerate the internal conflict within US that's currently building.
Meanwhile, BRICS is creating an alternative economy that's outside western control and that necessarily means that the dollar based economy is now shrinking. Much of the wealth in US and other western countries comes from exploitation of the Global South, and when that stops there's going to be a huge economic disaster in the west.
That's certainly an increasingly real possibility. In general, US society is becoming highly polarized and tribal. The mainstream is now split into two camps that see each other as the source of all the problems. The worse the material conditions get the more radicalized people will become, and eventually that will result in violence. US could end up in a Rwandan style civil war at some point.
Around a decade seems like a realistic time frame to me. In my opinion, two big factors driving the collapse are climate change and the rise of BRICS.
US is seeing an increasing number of environmental disasters every year, and this puts pressure on the already ailing infrastructure. Changing climate is also causing droughts that will make large parts of the country unlivable leading to internal migrations of millions of people. The droughts are also causing harvest failures that will eventually result in food shortages. US farming practices also contribute to the problem because they cause soil erosion. I expect that these factors will significantly accelerate the internal conflict within US that's currently building.
Meanwhile, BRICS is creating an alternative economy that's outside western control and that necessarily means that the dollar based economy is now shrinking. Much of the wealth in US and other western countries comes from exploitation of the Global South, and when that stops there's going to be a huge economic disaster in the west.
What internal conflicts are you referring to? A potential civil war triggered by the far right?
That's certainly an increasingly real possibility. In general, US society is becoming highly polarized and tribal. The mainstream is now split into two camps that see each other as the source of all the problems. The worse the material conditions get the more radicalized people will become, and eventually that will result in violence. US could end up in a Rwandan style civil war at some point.