meth_dragon [none/use name]

  • 9 Posts
  • 795 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 6th, 2022

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  • it's kursk/kherson all over again, people think russia and iran are going to give up their long term strategic interests and regional aspirations, throwing away of years of effort just because some jumped up proxies grabbed some land and are really loud on social media about it. might as well just roll over and vote if that was the case. imo this is just the americans throwing bibi a bone and we probably won't see any real reactions from the axis until after initial overtures from the trump admin. would be rash to make big moves just as biden's on the way out and potentially give someone as unpredictable as trump leverage without knowing more precisely how he plans on executing this time around.




  • i was big mad about this a couple months ago but it has kinda been a nothingburger just like the saudi bonds and the stonk qe lol. lots of money left medicine after covid and hasnt come back, cynical speculation that this is just some half assed way to try and swindle some lib investors out of their money

    all the people who mattered have been in china since the beginning, couple of hospitals are not gonna make much of a difference either way. though there is the fact that local governments have been cancelling tenure for doctors and other low level civil servants. private hospitals have always had a bad rap for attracting the shittier doctors, maybe this will turn their reputation around



  • pretty sure all this was planned out a long time ago, just that two weeks ago might have been a local inflection point that set some more things into motion.

    people have been poopooing the north korean involvement as fake news but imo it makes perfect sense for them to be there, the logic being that they are already sanctioned to hell and also has china holding down the backyard. china cant move because optics (also us hasnt moved yet) and iran has israel to take care of. taking this into account, russia and co must have planned for this at least since last year, since the mutual defence treaty was signed in august and its not like you can just boilerplate one of those in just a few weeks...


  • i feel like ukraine will never really 'lose' the war because once ukraine is out of people they'll just replace them with poles and baltics

    in for a penny in for a pound, maybe zman gets disappeared if he doesn't cooperate as much as they'd like and some fall guy more amenable to nato agenda comes in but lets be real here, what could possibly be their motivation to end the war? this started as an attempt to balkanize russia and take all its shit, there is no way they're settling for piddly-ass western ukraine just because ukraine is out of cannon fodder




  • there was a poc subreddit that i tried radicalizing for a while and there was a self proclaimed indian dude who kept writing /thathappened fanfics about his sexual interactions with white women and how much he hated italian women

    i tried telling him that the sub was not the right place for erotica and he wrote me a numbered manifesto about how cucked i was and one of the points was a legit raceplay humiliation scene

    up until that point i had just taken his word for being indian but after that i figured it was 50/50 indian vs white larper


  • the problem is that his talking points havent changed in the past 3 or 4 years but he deletes all his posts so you cant actually cross reference for yourself. in brief,

    1. us is only country that can print dollars
    2. dollarization bad
    3. (insert x event here) dollarizes, biden wins again


    you can go look up geikei's recent good faith attempts to engage (you actually cant because the responses are deleted), either the talking points are side stepped or they get bogged down in a gish gallop rehash of of the above three points. i recall i made a conscious decision to reduce engagement with xhs right after he first started this bidenomics bit after federation and already he didn't bother backing up his points with anything substantial (softballed him with some stuff about resource swapping and i got basically point 1 in essay format)

    in any case, i still don't think his points, esp wrt the chinese strategy, hold any water as it's been established that roosevelt's vision for the marshall plan failed, and as hudson himself has pointed out, america's postwar military adventurisms were a response to the failure of the marshall plan. for china to do something like this would be a fantastically nihilistic interpretation of history particularly as the chinese are at a similar point industrially to the postwar US (major exception being that the war of capitalist transition is only just beginning for us)



  • but they could just provide Gulf countries with 'free' Yuan to import from China with, given their large current surpluses

    gulf countries want to deleverage/diversify away from the dollar but are scared of american reprisal, this lets them do so in a plausibly deniable way while simultaneously providing china with extra means to take care of indebted countries' dollar loans

    idk how much giving something away for free vs not comes into it, i think the chinese are mostly motivated to create new and stable markets for export and at the moment this seems to be enough for people. how this might backfire on them in the future like how the marshall plan failed for the americans is up for debate, but to just dump 3 trillion into paying back everyones imf loans seems like a somewhat rash and highly telegraphed move with unpredictable consequences