Here's the list; I'm gonna group some of these together for the sake of brevity:

Implementing a Nuclear Posture Review with a more aggressive stance toward Russia, which CNN itself called “its toughest line yet against Russia’s resurgent nuclear forces.” Withdrawing from the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. Ending the Open Skies Treaty, which allowed both sides to conduct reconnaissance flights over one another’s territories. Putting sanctions on Russia in response to "human rights violations" and their actions in Crimea and eastern Ukraine, as well as "interference in the US elections". Then more sanctions which targetted various high-up Russian officials and oligarchs, which Vice says were "the most aggressive sanctions yet." Then two rounds of sanctions in response to the Skripal poisoning, and expelling 60 Russian diplomats. Then more sanctions due, again, to Russia's annexation of Crimea. Then yet more sanctions, this time on Prigozhin and friends. Then secondary sanctions on China and Turkey for purchasing Russian S-400s. Forcing RT and Sputnik to register as "foreign agents". Refusing to admit that Crimea is part of Russia.

Threatening sanctions on Germany if they build Nord Stream 2.

Arming Ukraine, in which Trump was actually more hawkish than Obama was. Selling ~$5 billion worth of Patriot missiles to Poland, and 1000 troops. Sending Abrams tanks to Estonia. Putting NATO warships in the Black Sea. Training Polish and Latvian forces to "resist Russian aggression".

Bombing Syria, a Russian ally, for the chemical weapons allegations. Occupying Syrian oil fields, explicitly stating that it's to deny Syria financial resources. Killing Russians in Syria; the exact number is unknown but it could be from a handful to hundreds.

Withdrawing from the Iran Deal to try and hurt Iran, a key Russian ally.

Staging coup attempts in Venezuela, another Russian ally.

The only reason anyone still believes Trump is anything other than insanely hawkish toward Russia is because it doesn’t benefit anyone’s partisanship or profit margins to call it like it really is. The facts are right here as plain as can be, but there’s a difference between facts and narrative. If they wanted to, the political/media class could very easily use the facts I just laid out to weave the narrative that this president is imperiling us all with dangerous new cold war provocations, but that’s how different narrative is from fact; there’s almost no connection. Instead they use a light sprinkling of fact to weave a narrative that has very little to do with reality. And meanwhile the insane escalations continue.

This dates back to November 2019, so it doesn't even cover all of Trump's presidency. It's pretty clear that Trump was much more hawkish on Russia than Obama, and it only seems like Trump was less hawkish on Russia because Biden has been such a bloodthirsty, reckless warmongerer even by the standards of US presidents that he catapulted us to the edge of nuclear war.

The Trump narrative is based on his inconsistency, so arguing based on his historical record is already a contradiction and doesn't realy change much.

The second point is that Ukraine and NATO was never anywhere close to a relevant topic in US politics and even this is arguably already back down from the 2022 peak. So you can underestimate how far Trump will go to spite libs and everyone else he personaly doesn't like. If libs continue to continue this war at all costs then it is easy to say Trump will just take the easy political win here.

My personal theory is Trump likes all of these traits like "the negotiator", "the business man", "billionaire", "big deal guy", "tough guy", the boss etc.

So the easy win for him is to get soyboy little Putin(or maybe even make this about shitty "liberal" EU/NATO and getting them to do what he wants) to come to the negotiation table "against his will" or something and do a Vietnam and try to make this humiliating defeat into a big victory because Trump is actualy the peace guy if you didn't know lol. Yes why not chuds will take the pro-peace route just to spite libs because he is tough and Putin respects him so that is Putin accepted a peace deal. You get the picture.

Also I should add there were already multiple MSM articles trying to push the narrative Russia wanted to destroy Ukraine so by failing to do this it means this is already a victory for the west. All of those articles about Putin trying to rebuild the the USSR or even the Russian empire, old news.

They tried to push this and failed because Ukraine's maximalist approach, they want not peace but the whole Donbas and primarily Crimea back at all costs. So no shitty NYT article will convince the Nazis they're actually winning if they simply survive. Anyway this is also why the US can't "freeze" the war yet.

The TL;DR is libs made the mistake of turning the Ukraine war into part of their own personality, people with Ukraine flags even though they can't point to it on the map(certainly not before last year anyway) so even though nothing is certain I don't see why Trump will shake hands with libs on this issue. Putin would have to escalate against NATO, actualy use a nuke even for chuds to turn around and actualy believe Russia is the enemy.

Now I'd be interested to see that play out. I think it'd be really funny if Trump stopped the war just to own the dems, but that would be a good thing happening so I doubt it. But if Trump does continue how are the Libs going to respond? Like if he sends over a few billion more dollars will Liberals have to become anti war or pro Trump? What particular kinda pretzel will they bend themselves into I wonder.

This is Biden’s war through and through. He started it in 2014 and reignited it in 2022. If you think Trump isn’t going to end it just to spite Biden, you’re fooling yourself.

There's going to be a ceasefire when neither side feels they can afford to make anymore gains on the ground. Both Ukraine and Russia aren't interested in that right now. If that continues, I don't believe Trump has any capacity to force a deal. I'm not a big understander of the American system, but it seems like congress could keep arms flowing to Ukraine with Trump in office. So even just cutting off supplies to Ukraine might be too much effort for Trump.

But that seems like the only viable option: cutting off Ukraine and just giving Russia what it wants. Which is still a hard sell for Trump. Especially if most of the people around him will pressure him against it.

If the war in Ukraine has progressed to the point where both sides are ready to make a deal, I don't think it matters who's in the white house.