Image is of President Vladimir Putin, with his cook Prigozhin, though he is more famous for other things.
I'm assuming we all know what a "Russia" and a "Putin" is, so I'm skipping the background section.
On March 15th, Putin handily won the presidential election. This is perhaps one of the least surprising things to happen in the last couple years, and all claims and debates about electoral corruption are missing the point (in this particular election at least). The reason why Putin won is not fascist brainwashing or Putin having a high Persuasion/Intimidation DC, and it's not even really about the laws that make opposing the Ukraine War illegal. Wages are up significantly, unemployment is at record lows (for the post-USSR period, of course), as is poverty, and the ruble is about as stable as it could be given what the West has tried to do to it. The government has been forced to massively intervene in the economy to keep things afloat, buying up properties that have been ditched by foreign and domestic billionaires, though obviously Russia's wealthy are still plenty powerful. Inflation is up, but wages are comfortably outpacing it. And the Communist Party remains a relic of a bygone era, disconnected from the young people who might hypothetically propel a revolution.
Russia is still in the transition from switching to a Western-oriented export economy to an Eastern-oriented one. Nonetheless, Russia is now China's single largest oil supplier (unseating Saudi Arabia), delivering half of all their oil to China, and trade between the two countries has massively increased. Where Western brands have retreated from Russia (and not many actually have), more Russia-friendly corporations, and Russian businesses themselves, have filled the gaps.
By going through the news, I've seen a lot of economies that are not doing well at all. Most countries seem to be in that category. Either they have general growth but a deeply struggling populace, or the government is trying to keep the population afloat but running up huge debts in the process, or the government is failing on both counts. Russia is one of the few countries on the planet that I can confidently state is actually doing quite well objectively, which means it's doing extremely well relatively. Considering the Western economists regularly delivering portents of doom in early 2022, and salivating over how they were going to divide the country following the inevitable economic collapse, this is a hilarious state of affairs.
In the long term, their predictions may come true. It is entirely possible that a post-war Russia will slump, returning to neoliberal policies and continuing their nonsensical allergy to budget deficits. Russia might not be a mere gas station, but a substantial amount of the economy is made up of fossil fuel exports, which might be troublesome in a greener future, especially as China, their main oil market, is one of the few countries on the planet that seems serious about renewable/nuclear energy. And the limited labour force means that long-term growth is inherently limited without some creative measures, even with the potential influx of whatever remains of the population and territory that Russia seizes in Ukraine. Perhaps it is in this crucible of disillusionment and hardship, after seeing that good things are indeed possible if the government wishes them to be so, that a socialist Russia could rise again. But we aren't there yet, and the growth continues for now.
Apologies for the lack of updates (again!), I've been going through book titles again for the reading list (I've probably got a thousand or more to get through) and also trying to touch grass more. I'm not very good at balancing things out, I tend to do the hyperfocus-on-one-thing-until-it's-done approach.
The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.
The Country of the Week is Russia! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
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Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
red fash? really?
I dont know about red fash but I know a lot of russians that are pro soviet union and workers rights but also extremely islamophobe, anti LGBTQ and anti-"modernity"(dont know what they mean, but I think its about feminism, like woman should get kids etc)
The political landscape in Russia is much different than America, you can't analyze it the same way. The best way to understand this phenomenon in Russia is through the lens of anti-liberalism/anti-westernization. For centuries this has been a major divide in Russian politics. Their nation is on the periphery of Europe and there has always been a fight between Russians over whether to try to move closer to the rest of Europe culturally or if Russia should try to embrace it's own Slavic identity (aka Slavophilia). You can call it the Russian culture war if you really want to use American vocabulary.
This divide doesn't fit neatly over political ideology. Lenin's application of Marxist theory arguably made him a westernizer while Stalin very much turned the party towards Slavophilia by relaxing persecution of the Orthodox Church and enacting a number of natalist policies, among others. One isn't necessarily better than the other, it's just a different vision of Russian national identity. Though if you live in the west you are obviously going to find the westernizer view more familiar.
The 1990s quite obviously made western and liberal values very unpopular in Russia, and now the war in Ukraine is often seen as a war against the the West itself and a defense of Russian sovereignty. Medvedev is one of the biggest propagandists of this, he posted "I hate the West. They are bastards and scum. They want death to us, Russia, and as long as I’m alive, I will do everything to make them disappear.”
So when Russians talk about anti-"modernity", you can basically just replace that with anti-liberalism, anti-western. They aren't "red fash." They view LGBTQ as a "Western import" and thus reflexively reject it, same with tolerance of Islam. On the other hand they love the USSR and workers right's because that's loving Russia and their Slavic identity. It may seem like nationalistic conservatism to us now, but that's mostly because Putin is a nationalistic conservative and has dominated Russian politics, so he's been able to exploit this divide very well. As a macho conservative he has no love loss for LGBTQ rights and he's happy to scapegoat them as Western agents trying to destabilize the country.
But we know that's not true, queer people in Russia are as homegrown as anywhere else. So it's a real damn shame that in recent decades LGBTQ rights have become so wedded to liberalism, that anaemic fucking ideology, because liberalism is dead and beaten in Russia now. Theoretically there could be an anti-western, pro-LGBTQ movement in Russia that could maybe overcome this (as we know despite western talk LGBTQ rights aren't great there either), but with the level of targeted state repression in Russia it's hard to see that happening anytime soon, it would also probably look really damn weird from the outside.
Great read, thank u. I dont really believe in the consept of red fash. I actually only know it, because a chechen anarchist called me like that once, cause I defended stalin (he is kinda controversial in chechnya)
Not the way libs call us that. More like, I thought they were a straight up fash until they started talking about how commie times were better. Like, complaining about feminism, demographic change, (a word that starts with d describing general decline in perceived moral norms that’s apparently not allowed here), etc kind of fash. Like one of their arguments was literally “the communists wouldn’t have let immigrants come take our jobs”.
Biden has a degenerative brain disease. Yeah that word but in noun form.
I don't know if that really makes them a communist or "red". Just someone who appreciated the system they previously experienced. It's not like they were organizing with anyone.
You don’t have to be organizing to be a communist or “red”. Basically they seemed to support communist economic policies while opposing social policies. I get that means they’re not really on the left, but “red fash” is a pretty apt term for it.
I know liberals call us that for not supporting Western imperialist foreign policy, and that usage of the term is complete nonsense, but it can still be a useful term otherwise.
90% of Americans support "communist economic policies" too. Communism is a movement, not just policy wonk stuff. Maybe they fit that description maybe they don't.