- cross-posted to:
- futurology@futurology.today
- cross-posted to:
- futurology@futurology.today
Almost 80% of the respondents, all from the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), foresee at least 2.5C of global heating above preindustrial levels, while almost half anticipate at least 3C (5.4F). Only 6% thought the internationally agreed 1.5C (2.7F) limit will be met.
“I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years,” said Gretta Pecl, at the University of Tasmania. “[Authorities] will be overwhelmed by extreme event after extreme event, food production will be disrupted. I could not feel greater despair over the future.”
"The world’s response to date is reprehensible – we live in an age of fools.”
Lisa Schipper, at University of Bonn in Germany, said: “My only source of hope is the fact that, as an educator, I can see the next generation being so smart and understanding the politics.”
I'm not going to say exactly when but I had an existential crisis and a mental breakdown when I fully grasped the eco-socio-political reality of climate change and how we would respond, what that would achieve, and the fact that one way of addressing climate change would likely have a domino effect of negative consequences that would impact the environment negatively in other ways.
One simple example of this would be heatwaves causing people to use more air-conditioning and personal transport, driving up energy consumption and heat generated locally. A more complex example would be crop failures leading to more intensive agricultural efforts elsewhere and reliance upon the seas for food, leading to hastening the environmental collapse in those domains. A global example would be the pinball effect of destablisation of countries, the disruption to supply chains, the destabilisation of nearby countries, thus impeding global efforts for cooperation and climate change mitigation; there is no environmental policy in a state which has collapsed.
This happened a long time ago now, not like "before Greta Thunberg was speaking" but more like "before Greta Thunberg was speaking", and I've never truly recovered from it.
Sometimes I do sit there and be like man, we really spent a hundred years building a machine to destroy the world
I read Half Earth Socialism and while it was excellent, it was staggering in its frank account of how much society would have to change to take climate change seriously while also not killing 85% of all wildlife species on Earth by constraining land use. We're talking 100% mandatory veganism, 2000-watt society (honestly more like 1500 watts while US is currently at 12,000), 100% home electrification, literally zero airplane travel and very little car travel. The transformation our culture would have to go through would make the instability of China's cultural revolution look like nothing.