I believe the polling results would be far different if they spoke to people face-to-face. But pollsters avoid doing that like the plague. It's far more expense and complex than simply calling people. So they always call people.
Polling people by phone requires the pollsters to call an insane number of people and call over again too. I assume any poll about something like politics that's phone-based is suspect for young people results even if pollsters oversample. What sane, rational young person answers a call from an unknown number and if they do - keeps taking?
Another thing is polling assumes people are being honest and truthful. I'm not a conspiracy theorist but I think this election will prove to be a (very) weird one. I think the average young person thinks both parties suck. Non-GOP people are virtue signaling that they support Biden and the dems more than answering honestly. And I think on the right there's virtue signaling for the GOP and Trump.
Yet another r/politics thread - of course they have the opposite view. Emphasis mine.
The difference between this poll and others is that YouGov made an active, concerted effort to oversample young people (a notoriously difficult demo to poll) to help get to a more accurate result with far lower margin for error. Unsurprising that this additional effort got them closer to the result we would expect.
I use YouGov data all the time at work (advertising agency) because they have the most representative sample of the American consumer. It's really interesting to combine these answers (which came off their weekly question bank) with the data from their annual survey (the broader demographics and psychographics) to understand the mindsets of different types of voters. Not that I'm in poli-sci, but it's still cool to play with the data and understand these audiences.
"The American consumer". It's true that the the Biden/Democrat Brand took a ding due to the Gaza situation but that's offset by...
![[Not the Onion] Biden up 23% with...](https://hexbear.net/pictrs/image/b6551bdc-2c2e-4ca5-8975-02fd20a1d1f6.png){kind=link}
An r/politics thread
That's all astroturf right...
....right?
I believe the polling results would be far different if they spoke to people face-to-face. But pollsters avoid doing that like the plague. It's far more expense and complex than simply calling people. So they always call people.
Polling people by phone requires the pollsters to call an insane number of people and call over again too. I assume any poll about something like politics that's phone-based is suspect for young people results even if pollsters oversample. What sane, rational young person answers a call from an unknown number and if they do - keeps taking?
Another thing is polling assumes people are being honest and truthful. I'm not a conspiracy theorist but I think this election will prove to be a (very) weird one. I think the average young person thinks both parties suck. Non-GOP people are virtue signaling that they support Biden and the dems more than answering honestly. And I think on the right there's virtue signaling for the GOP and Trump.
Yet another r/politics thread - of course they have the opposite view. Emphasis mine.
"The American consumer". It's true that the the Biden/Democrat Brand took a ding due to the Gaza situation but that's offset by...
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