He's guaranteed to lose now. I can't see a universe where the mental gymnastics add up to deciding that this is a good idea. Don't get me wrong, it'd be funny as hell. But I'm really not looking forward to the idea of more Trump.

  • riseuppikmin [he/him]
    ·
    edit-2
    4 months ago

    All indications are currently that Joe is the guy (closest advisors seemingly being his family- Jill is the most important and she seems especially delusional) Obama and Bill Clinton's public support for him).

    I think we're in a two week period where he could be replaced but it only happens if swing state polling being done looks worse than terrible (aka losing outside of the margin of error in at least 3 of 5 swing states or any 2 of the Midwest). The only way this happens is through an organized donor revolt.

    My guess is he's the nominee unless he dies which I think is also a very real possibility. Funniest timeline is he somehow weathers a donor revolt and then the October surprise is "Joe Biden dies from covid."

    • tactical_trans_karen [she/her, comrade/them]
      hexagon
      ·
      4 months ago

      I've been around too many old folks dying to have confidence that he'll drop dead - people are resilient. Some rando schmuck getting pumped full of amphetamines like him would, but he's got the best healthcare in the world. At least it seems like the donors were already revolting half way through the debate...

      • ryepunk [he/him]
        ·
        4 months ago

        He'll go out give the best debate of his lib life, everyone will be restored in his ability to win the election, and then whoops that cocktail of drugs just made his heart explode and he's dead. The DNC will likely resort to necromancy and have a mumbling zombie as the president before they try a different candidate though.