I'm not good at math, but people keep passing this chart around in
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But I keep seeing people in the comments debating whether this is actually "impossible" or not, using stats terms I'm not familiar with. Also idk the source of this graph so maybe it's bs.
No. This is wrong. Don't confuse people. To give five decimal places after the number of percentage points it's 51.20000% etc.
In each of the three cases, it is within one vote of the exact 51.2%, 44.2%, 4.6%. It couldn't be more on-the-button without fractional votes, where you chop Venezuelans up into bits and take the bits to the polling booth.
It's more likely they just released the rough percentages and someone natively did the reverse calculation.
no but if you look at things like The Birthday Problem, things that seem unlikely become inevitable once sample size grows (e.g. this is far from their first election).
This is still George W Bush has 11 letters (therefor did 911) tier level of evidence standing alone without any substantial evidence (that I am aware of).
You seem trustworthy. I'm in.