I'll go first.

I expect this to be the same as 2020, but North Carolina might flip blue.

  • DragonBallZinn [he/him]
    ·
    2 months ago

    I’m slightly on the side of Harris winning.

    • I’ll give dems this, they’ve at least begun to develop a sense of party loyalty that the gop has.

    • Tim Walz was admittedly an attempt to appeal to some economic populism. I have no faith they’ll make good on this, but I as per usual hope to be proven wrong.

    • The gamergate sauce is dying to some extent. Gamergaters have been in victory dance mode for 10 years after winning and even among apolitical people I’ve seen them tell these red-baiters to fuck off

    • Hilary Clinton in particular had a LOT of baggage and even in 2016 Trump barely won

    • tons of early voting. Generally dems do better when more people vote

    • I think overturning Roe was the GOP’s equivalent of Obgerfell, the pyrrhic culture war victory that they didn’t want to truly win.

    • Also I’ve noticed a bit of the idea of fully forming a “uniparty”, dems love kowtowing to the gop and if I were a fascist, I’d want my most vocal dissenters to get on my case for not being fascist enough.

    Oh, and a lathe for the road. I can see immediately after a Harris win that dems will smugly tell the left: “see? We don’t need you after all!” even before they go back to brunch.