• InevitableSwing [none/use name]
      hexagon
      hexbear
      10
      7 months ago

      For eight years - Pundits have making the same mistake over and over and over and over again. They've been using Betteridge's Law of Headlines when they are talking about Trump. And for a question like "Could this spell trouble for Trump?" - the answer is always "no".

      The current lib hope is "Could a criminal conviction impact Trump's support?" I have to say that my answer isn't a solid "no" for this overly simplistic question. Sure, his polling numbers might drop for a couple weeks or whatever. But then his numbers will go up again. They always do.

        • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
          hexagon
          hexbear
          5
          7 months ago

          Please, God, even though I don't believe in you at all if that happens - I promise that I will consider becoming an observant Jew. Don't quote me but I might even keep kosher too. What can I say, God? That would be beyond fucking awesome and blessings be upo—. Oops, but you know the thing.

      • zifnab25 [he/him, any]
        hexbear
        10
        7 months ago

        The same margin Biden had nationally for the bulk of 2019. Only there's no Bernie to rival him on the right.

      • happybadger [he/him]
        hexbear
        6
        7 months ago

        https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2024/president/us/24_democratic_presidential_nomination-8171.html

        Jesus, Biden gained 12% in the democratic primary since 7 October. Democrats love a noble genocide.

  • Maoo [none/use name]
    hexbear
    4
    7 months ago

    lol Desantis made a huge mistake in being anti-Trump. He could've run away with the nomination this time or next time if he had just aligned himself.