The @PHE_uk report today paints a grim picture - TL;DR:-delta variant has almost replaced the beta variant in much of England- 50-60% more transmissible- ~2.5x higher risk of hospitalisations- Schools appear to be a key area of spread with many large no.s of clusters 🧵— Deepti Gurdasani (@dgurdasani1) June 3, 2021
Yeah it's just all messed up. Hopefully the vaccines work well and stomp everything out, but even then they're taking so long to be available in the global south. I've just pretty much accepted that a terrible 3rd wave is inevitable now.
Depends on where you are. The big risk in the developed world is a big wave of hospitalizations around the vaccine reluctant. The other longer tail problem is an escape variant, but generally the bad system we have set up is good at immediate problems with clear risk and every lab worldwide is currently tracking COVID variants.
Yeah it's just all messed up. Hopefully the vaccines work well and stomp everything out, but even then they're taking so long to be available in the global south. I've just pretty much accepted that a terrible 3rd wave is inevitable now.
:doomjak:
Depends on where you are. The big risk in the developed world is a big wave of hospitalizations around the vaccine reluctant. The other longer tail problem is an escape variant, but generally the bad system we have set up is good at immediate problems with clear risk and every lab worldwide is currently tracking COVID variants.