I know Beto voters were more likely to be from multi-generation households than Cruz voters.
I also know that the whole Bush takeover of Texas during the 60s and 70s was goosed by companies like Exxon and KBR moving their headquarters down here. Then they had kids and those kids turned into neoliberals. Now Tom DeLay's Sugar Land is voting for Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden as parents who moved here in the 80s are voting against kids who grew up here in the 90s. And the only thing that's really keeping the state cemented as red is the ex-urban oil boom towns and rural shit-kicker towns that continue to infest the Permian Basin area.
But it's also worth considering the racial divide. A lot of that "Native Texan" vote is just the Black and Latino Texas vote. Migrant Black and Latino voters happen to be richer and, subsequently, more Republican-leaning. Migrant white voters also tend to be richer and more Republican-leaning. California has more conservative voters than any other state - something like 6M turned out for Trump in 2020, which ended up being about 200k more than even second-in-line Texas - and it should come as no surprise that Texas draws them in like flies to honey.
I think I read something that Texas transplants were more likely to be Trump voters than those who were born in Texas.
I know Beto voters were more likely to be from multi-generation households than Cruz voters.
I also know that the whole Bush takeover of Texas during the 60s and 70s was goosed by companies like Exxon and KBR moving their headquarters down here. Then they had kids and those kids turned into neoliberals. Now Tom DeLay's Sugar Land is voting for Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden as parents who moved here in the 80s are voting against kids who grew up here in the 90s. And the only thing that's really keeping the state cemented as red is the ex-urban oil boom towns and rural shit-kicker towns that continue to infest the Permian Basin area.
But it's also worth considering the racial divide. A lot of that "Native Texan" vote is just the Black and Latino Texas vote. Migrant Black and Latino voters happen to be richer and, subsequently, more Republican-leaning. Migrant white voters also tend to be richer and more Republican-leaning. California has more conservative voters than any other state - something like 6M turned out for Trump in 2020, which ended up being about 200k more than even second-in-line Texas - and it should come as no surprise that Texas draws them in like flies to honey.