So far my best bets have been talking about the Demographic Transition Model - i.e, as wealth goes up, birth rates decline, so uplift the poor and we'll be fine.
I also say that we have enough resources to go around if we stop allowing 1 man to use the resources of 100.
Theres also people with mad conspiracies that the government is trying to decrease birth rates by promoting LGBT stuff. To that I've said I also say that the current system of capitalism is all about growth and making money, and more people = more money. They don't want to thin us down.
What else can I say? It seems to be a very common belief.
Since most people don't really like to read, show them this Renegade Cut video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exheGjFGNko
On a side note there are lots of people who believe global overpopulation is a problem but also think that "Western nations" need to increase their birthrates.... i.e. they're super racist and eugenicist.
My position is the compromise: overpopulation is kinda real but the big problem is the population of the first world countries since we use tons more resources per capita