Unless the SPD pulls far ahead, CDU/CSU will have the most seats and claim the right to form a coalition. The SPD has been entirely comfortable in a coalition with the CDU and I expect them to do it again. I do not think the greens want to be stuck between two right wing parties that are despised by most of their base.
But it's gonna be a long night either way. Lots of ego, lots of trading posts and favors. And we're all gonna lose as always.
The real disaster is the Linke being entirely invisible for the past years. The greens have captured the idea for climate change so entirely for younger people and they've lost every backup in eastern Germany from their former worker base. I hope they will make it into the parliament.
I do not think the greens want to be stuck between two right wing parties that are despised by most of their base.
Their base pretends to despise them, but the party regularly is part of coalitions with both and most of their voters don't care. Habeck has already said he wants to talk to the FDP first.
Germany has a mix of representative and majority votes. Everybody gets one vote for the candidate in their county, which is majority vote and one for a party list on the state level, which is representative vote. This leads to all kinds of shenanigans, such as the CDU and SPD being overrepresented, the Bundestag getting larger and larger to at least mostly make up for that and people getting told to :vote: :vote: with both of their :vote: s.
You cast two votes on the ballot: one for your local candidate in your voting district and one for the general representation (the percentages you've posted.)
You are always gonna get at least as many seats as is proportional to your share of the votes. But also every candidate that wins their voting district will get into parliament. This is no issues in most cases as parties will have a bigger share than direct candidates. Except the CSU (sister party of the CDU, replaces the CDU in Bavaria) gets very little overall share but a fuck ton (almost all) of direct candidates because of ages of local corruption in Bavaria.
All of these people will get into the parliament, even though there is no overall representation for them. So unless the SPD has significantly more share, they will have less seats.
Unless the SPD pulls far ahead, CDU/CSU will have the most seats and claim the right to form a coalition. The SPD has been entirely comfortable in a coalition with the CDU and I expect them to do it again. I do not think the greens want to be stuck between two right wing parties that are despised by most of their base.
But it's gonna be a long night either way. Lots of ego, lots of trading posts and favors. And we're all gonna lose as always.
:germany-cool: :germany-cool: :germany-cool: :germany-cool:
The real disaster is the Linke being entirely invisible for the past years. The greens have captured the idea for climate change so entirely for younger people and they've lost every backup in eastern Germany from their former worker base. I hope they will make it into the parliament.
Their base pretends to despise them, but the party regularly is part of coalitions with both and most of their voters don't care. Habeck has already said he wants to talk to the FDP first.
deleted by creator
Germany has a mix of representative and majority votes. Everybody gets one vote for the candidate in their county, which is majority vote and one for a party list on the state level, which is representative vote. This leads to all kinds of shenanigans, such as the CDU and SPD being overrepresented, the Bundestag getting larger and larger to at least mostly make up for that and people getting told to :vote: :vote: with both of their :vote: s.
It's a very strange system.
You cast two votes on the ballot: one for your local candidate in your voting district and one for the general representation (the percentages you've posted.)
You are always gonna get at least as many seats as is proportional to your share of the votes. But also every candidate that wins their voting district will get into parliament. This is no issues in most cases as parties will have a bigger share than direct candidates. Except the CSU (sister party of the CDU, replaces the CDU in Bavaria) gets very little overall share but a fuck ton (almost all) of direct candidates because of ages of local corruption in Bavaria.
All of these people will get into the parliament, even though there is no overall representation for them. So unless the SPD has significantly more share, they will have less seats.