North Korean leader Kim Jong Un says US policy towards the Korean peninsula is making war inevitable.Kim was speaking at an end-of-year Workers' Party meetin...
While Taiwan has been a concern as the next possible flashpoint for US proxy war, I wonder how imminent a resumption of the Korean civil war is? If South and North start fighting again, how likely is it that China would overtly support DPRK (US support being given)? In that scenario I find it difficult to imagine it not escalating into a regional conflict and maybe WW3. However it seems right now US is focusing on Iran via Israel.
Xi and Kim declared 2024 “Friendship Year”, maybe they’re seeing something on the horizon and want to signal China’s support to ward off US belligerence. Could just be normal boring diplomacy though.
China has an explicit stance of “we will attack and contain whoever the aggressor is if hostilities resume in Korea”. unless the plan is for all faults to slip at once and the USA to be forced into every conflict it feared would erupt for the past century, i think China is perfectly content to sit back and watch the yanks fumble their way through the terminal stages of imperial decline. they want to avoid direct confrontation, not spark it
i wouldn’t be super worried about Korea. bluster and and ominous threats from the Kims are nothing new
A war on the Korean peninsula doesn’t really serve anyone’s interests at this point. From the US POV it’s a stable situation when they’re already facing increasing problems on other fronts. The DPRK is perfectly rational so maybe they try and use the US being over extended to get some concessions but that’s about the extent of it that I see.
While Taiwan has been a concern as the next possible flashpoint for US proxy war, I wonder how imminent a resumption of the Korean civil war is? If South and North start fighting again, how likely is it that China would overtly support DPRK (US support being given)? In that scenario I find it difficult to imagine it not escalating into a regional conflict and maybe WW3. However it seems right now US is focusing on Iran via Israel.
Xi and Kim declared 2024 “Friendship Year”, maybe they’re seeing something on the horizon and want to signal China’s support to ward off US belligerence. Could just be normal boring diplomacy though.
China has an explicit stance of “we will attack and contain whoever the aggressor is if hostilities resume in Korea”. unless the plan is for all faults to slip at once and the USA to be forced into every conflict it feared would erupt for the past century, i think China is perfectly content to sit back and watch the yanks fumble their way through the terminal stages of imperial decline. they want to avoid direct confrontation, not spark it
i wouldn’t be super worried about Korea. bluster and and ominous threats from the Kims are nothing new
A war on the Korean peninsula doesn’t really serve anyone’s interests at this point. From the US POV it’s a stable situation when they’re already facing increasing problems on other fronts. The DPRK is perfectly rational so maybe they try and use the US being over extended to get some concessions but that’s about the extent of it that I see.
AUKUS